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| Today, Inshallah, we are going to start Chapter 7. |
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| Chapter 7 talks about sampling and sampling |
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| distributions. The objectives for this chapter are |
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| number one we have different methods actually we |
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| have two methods probability and non-probability |
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| samples and we are going to distinguish between |
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| these two sampling methods. So again, in this |
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| chapter, we will talk about two different sampling |
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| methods. One is called probability sampling and |
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| the other is non-probability sampling. Our goal is |
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| to distinguish between these two different |
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| sampling methods. The other learning objective |
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| will be We'll talk about the concept of the |
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| sampling distribution. That will be next time, |
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| inshallah. The third objective is compute |
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| probabilities related to sample mean. In addition |
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| to that, we'll talk about how can we compute |
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| probabilities regarding the sample proportion. And |
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| as I mentioned last time, There are two types of |
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| data. One is called the numerical data. In this |
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| case, we can use the sample mean. The other type |
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| is called qualitative data. And in this case, we |
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| have to use the sample proportion. So for this |
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| chapter, we are going to discuss how can we |
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| compute the probabilities for each one, either the |
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| sample mean or the sample proportion. The last |
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| objective of this chapter is to use the central |
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| limit theorem which is the famous one of the most |
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| famous theorem in this book which is called again |
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| CLT central limit theorem and we are going to show |
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| what are the what is the importance of this |
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| theorem so these are the mainly the four |
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| objectives for this chapter Now let's see why we |
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| 34 |
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| are talking about sampling. In other words, most |
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| of the time when we are doing study, we are using |
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| a sample. instead of using the entire population. |
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| 37 |
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| Now there are many reasons behind that. One of |
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| these reasons is selecting a sample is less time |
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| consuming than selecting every item in the |
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| population. I think it makes sense that suppose we |
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| have a huge population, that population consists |
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| of thousands of items. So that will take more time |
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| If you select 100 of their population. So time |
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| consuming is very important. So number one, |
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| selecting sample is less time consuming than using |
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| all the entire population. The second reason, |
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| selecting samples is less costly than selecting a |
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| variety of population. Because if we have large |
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| population, in this case you have to spend more |
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| money in order to get the data or the information |
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| from that population. So it's better to use these |
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| samples. The other reason is the analysis. Our |
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| sample is less cumbersome and more practical than |
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| analysis of all items in the population. For these |
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| reasons, we have to use a sample. For this reason, |
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| 56 |
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| we have to talk about sampling methods. Let's |
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| 57 |
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| start with sampling process. That begins with a |
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| 58 |
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| seminal frame. Now suppose my goal is to know the |
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| 59 |
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| opinion of IUG students about a certain subject. |
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| 60 |
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| So my population consists of all IUG students. So |
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| that's the entire population. And you know that, |
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| for example, suppose our usual students is around, |
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| for example, 20,000 students. 20,000 students is a |
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| 64 |
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| big number. So it's better to select a sample from |
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| 65 |
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| that population. Now, the first step in this |
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| 66 |
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| process, we have to determine the frame. of that |
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| 67 |
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| population. So my frame consists of all IU |
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| 68 |
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| students, which has maybe males and females. So my |
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| 69 |
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| frame in this case is all items, I mean all |
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| 70 |
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| students at IUG. So that's the frame. So my frame |
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| consists |
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| of all students. |
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| 73 |
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| So the definition of |
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| the semantic frame is a listing of items that make |
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| up the population. The items could be individual, |
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| could be students, could be things, animals, and |
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| 77 |
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| so on. So frames are data sources such as a |
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| population list. Suppose we have the names of IUDs |
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| humans. So that's my population list. Or |
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| 80 |
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| directories, or maps, and so on. So that's the |
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| 81 |
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| frame we have to know about the population we are |
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| 82 |
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| interested in. Inaccurate or biased results can |
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| 83 |
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| result if frame excludes certain portions of the |
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| 84 |
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| population. For example, suppose here, as I |
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| 85 |
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| mentioned, We are interested in IUG students, so |
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| 86 |
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| my frame and all IU students. And I know there are |
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| 87 |
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| students, either males or females. Suppose for |
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| 88 |
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| some reasons, we ignore males, and just my sample |
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| 89 |
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| focused on females. In this case, females. |
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| 90 |
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| don't represent the entire population. For this |
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| 91 |
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| reason, you will get inaccurate or biased results |
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| 92 |
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| if you ignore a certain portion. Because here |
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| 93 |
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| males, for example, maybe consists of 40% of the |
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| 94 |
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| IG students. So it makes sense that this number or |
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| 95 |
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| this percentage is a big number. So ignoring this |
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| 96 |
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| portion, may lead to misleading results or |
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| 97 |
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| inaccurate results or biased results. So you have |
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| 98 |
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| to keep in mind that you have to choose all the |
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| 99 |
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| portions of that frame. So inaccurate or biased |
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| 100 |
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| results can result if a frame excludes certain |
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| 101 |
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| portions of a population. Another example, suppose |
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| 102 |
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| we took males and females. But here for females, |
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| 103 |
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| females have, for example, four levels. Level one, |
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| 104 |
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| level two, level three, and level four. And we |
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| 105 |
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| ignored, for example, level one. I mean, the new |
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| 106 |
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| students. We ignored this portion. Maybe this |
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| 107 |
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| portion is very important one, but by mistake we |
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| 108 |
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| ignored this one. The remaining three levels will |
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| 109 |
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| not represent the entire female population. For |
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| 110 |
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| this reason, you will get inaccurate or biased |
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| 111 |
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| results. So you have to select all the portions of |
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| 112 |
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| the frames. Using different frames to generate |
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| 113 |
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| data can lead to dissimilar conclusions. For |
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| 114 |
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| example, Suppose again I am interested in IEG |
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| 115 |
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| students. |
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| 116 |
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| And I took the frame that has all students at |
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| 117 |
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| University of Gaza, Universities of Gaza. |
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| 118 |
| 00:09:09,250 --> 00:09:12,110 |
| And as we know that Gaza has three universities, |
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| 119 |
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| big universities, Islamic University, Lazar |
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| 120 |
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| University, and Al-Aqsa University. So we have |
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| 121 |
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| three universities. And my frame here, suppose I |
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| 122 |
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| took all students at these universities, but my |
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| 123 |
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| study focused on IU students. So my frame, the |
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| 124 |
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| true one, is all students at IUG. But I taught all |
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| 125 |
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| students at universities in Gaza. So now we have |
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| 126 |
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| different frames. |
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| 127 |
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| And you want to know what are the opinions of the |
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| 128 |
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| smokers about smoking. So my population now is |
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| 129 |
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| just... |
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| 130 |
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| So that's my thing. |
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| 131 |
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| I suppose I talk to a field that has one atom. |
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| 132 |
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| Oh my goodness. They are very different things. |
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| 133 |
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| The first one consists of only smokers. They are |
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| 134 |
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| very interested in you. The other one consists |
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| 135 |
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| of... Anonymous. I thought maybe... Smoker or non |
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| 136 |
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| -smokers. For this reason, you will get... |
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| 137 |
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| Conclusion, different results. |
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| 138 |
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| So now, |
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| 139 |
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| the sampling frame is a listing of items that make |
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| 140 |
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| up the entire population. Let's move to the types |
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| 141 |
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| of samples. Mainly there are two types of |
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| 142 |
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| sampling. One is cold. Non-probability samples. |
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| 143 |
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| The other one is called probability samples. The |
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| 144 |
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| non-probability samples can be divided into two |
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| 145 |
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| segments. One is called judgment and the other |
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| 146 |
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| convenience. So we have judgment and convenience |
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| 147 |
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| non-probability samples. The other type which is |
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| 148 |
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| random probability samples has four segments or |
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| 149 |
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| four parts. The first one is called simple random |
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| 150 |
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| sample. The other one is systematic. The second |
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| 151 |
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| one is systematic random sample. The third one is |
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| 152 |
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| certified. The fourth one cluster random sample. |
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| 153 |
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| So there are two types of sampling. Probability |
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| 154 |
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| and non-probability. Non-probability has four |
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| 155 |
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| methods here, simple random samples, systematic, |
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| 156 |
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| stratified, and cluster. And the non-probability |
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| 157 |
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| samples has two types, judgment and convenience. |
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| 158 |
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| Let's see the definition of each type of samples. |
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| 159 |
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| Let's start with non-probability sample. In non |
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| 160 |
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| -probability sample, items included or chosen |
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| 161 |
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| without regard to their probability of occurrence. |
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| 162 |
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| So that's the definition of non-probability. For |
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| 163 |
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| example. |
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| 164 |
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| So again, non-probability sample, it means you |
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| 165 |
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| select items without regard to their probability |
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| 166 |
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| of occurrence. For example, suppose females |
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| 167 |
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| consist of 70% of IUG students and males, the |
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| 168 |
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| remaining percent is 30%. And suppose I decided to |
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| 169 |
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| select a sample of 100 or 1000 students from IUG. |
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| 170 |
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| Suddenly, I have a sample that has 650 males and |
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| 171 |
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| 350 females. Now, this sample, which has these |
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| 172 |
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| numbers, for sure does not represent the entire |
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| 173 |
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| population. Because females has 70%, and I took a |
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| 174 |
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| random sample or a sample of size 350. So this |
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| 175 |
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| sample is chosen without regard to the probability |
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| 176 |
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| here. Because in this case, I should choose males |
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| 177 |
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| with respect to their probability, which is 30%. |
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| 178 |
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| But in this case, I just choose different |
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| 179 |
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| proportions. Another example. Suppose |
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| 180 |
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| Again, I am talking about smoking. |
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| 181 |
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| And I know that some people are smoking and I just |
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| 182 |
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| took this sample. So I took this sample based on |
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| 183 |
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| my knowledge. So it's without regard to their |
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| 184 |
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| probability. Maybe suppose I am talking about |
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| 185 |
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| political opinions about something. And I just |
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| 186 |
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| took the experts of that subject. So my sample is |
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| 187 |
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| not a probability sample. And this one has, as we |
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| 188 |
| 00:15:42,070 --> 00:15:44,230 |
| mentioned, has two types. One is called |
|
|
| 189 |
| 00:15:44,230 --> 00:15:49,010 |
| convenience sampling. In this case, items are |
|
|
| 190 |
| 00:15:49,010 --> 00:15:51,710 |
| selected based only on the fact that they are |
|
|
| 191 |
| 00:15:51,710 --> 00:15:55,590 |
| easy. So I choose that sample because it's easy. |
|
|
| 192 |
| 00:15:57,090 --> 00:15:57,690 |
| Inexpensive, |
|
|
| 193 |
| 00:16:02,190 --> 00:16:09,790 |
| inexpensive, or convenient to sample. If I choose |
|
|
| 194 |
| 00:16:09,790 --> 00:16:13,430 |
| my sample because it is easy or inexpensive, I |
|
|
| 195 |
| 00:16:13,430 --> 00:16:18,480 |
| think it doesn't make any sense, because easy. is |
|
|
| 196 |
| 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:23,780 |
| not a reason to select that sample. Inexpensive I |
|
|
| 197 |
| 00:16:23,780 --> 00:16:27,080 |
| think is also is not that big reason. But if you |
|
|
| 198 |
| 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:30,340 |
| select a sample because these items are convenient |
|
|
| 199 |
| 00:16:30,340 --> 00:16:33,760 |
| to assemble, it makes sense. So convenient sample |
|
|
| 200 |
| 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:38,280 |
| can be chosen based on easy, inexpensive or |
|
|
| 201 |
| 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:42,280 |
| convenient to assemble. On the other hand, In |
|
|
| 202 |
| 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:45,140 |
| judgment sample, you get the opinions of pre |
|
|
| 203 |
| 00:16:45,140 --> 00:16:49,360 |
| -selected experts in the subject matter. For |
|
|
| 204 |
| 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:52,700 |
| example, suppose we are talking about the causes |
|
|
| 205 |
| 00:16:52,700 --> 00:16:56,560 |
| of certain disease. Suppose we are talking about |
|
|
| 206 |
| 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:57,760 |
| cancer. |
|
|
| 207 |
| 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:06,820 |
| If I know the expert for this type of disease, |
|
|
| 208 |
| 00:17:07,620 --> 00:17:10,340 |
| that means you have judgment sample because you |
|
|
| 209 |
| 00:17:10,340 --> 00:17:14,720 |
| decided Before you select a sample that your |
|
|
| 210 |
| 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:27,500 |
| sample should contain only the expert in |
|
|
| 211 |
| 00:17:27,500 --> 00:17:31,360 |
| cancer disease. So that's the judgment sampling. |
|
|
| 212 |
| 00:17:32,260 --> 00:17:36,800 |
| So in this case, I didn't take all the doctors in |
|
|
| 213 |
| 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:41,340 |
| this case, I just taught the expert in cancer |
|
|
| 214 |
| 00:17:41,340 --> 00:17:45,160 |
| disease. So that's called non-probability samples. |
|
|
| 215 |
| 00:17:45,340 --> 00:17:48,820 |
| You have to make sense to distinguish between |
|
|
| 216 |
| 00:17:48,820 --> 00:17:54,700 |
| convenience sampling and judgment sample. So for |
|
|
| 217 |
| 00:17:54,700 --> 00:17:57,980 |
| judgment, you select a sample based on the prior |
|
|
| 218 |
| 00:17:57,980 --> 00:18:00,740 |
| information you have about the subject matter. |
|
|
| 219 |
| 00:18:02,870 --> 00:18:05,410 |
| Suppose I am talking about something related to |
|
|
| 220 |
| 00:18:05,410 --> 00:18:08,830 |
| psychology, so I have to take the expert in |
|
|
| 221 |
| 00:18:08,830 --> 00:18:12,910 |
| psychology. Suppose I am talking about expert in |
|
|
| 222 |
| 00:18:12,910 --> 00:18:17,050 |
| sports, so I have to take a sample from that |
|
|
| 223 |
| 00:18:17,050 --> 00:18:20,970 |
| segment and so on. But the convenient sample means |
|
|
| 224 |
| 00:18:20,970 --> 00:18:24,690 |
| that you select a sample maybe that is easy for |
|
|
| 225 |
| 00:18:24,690 --> 00:18:29,430 |
| you, or less expensive, or that sample is |
|
|
| 226 |
| 00:18:29,430 --> 00:18:32,980 |
| convenient. For this reason, it's called non |
|
|
| 227 |
| 00:18:32,980 --> 00:18:36,300 |
| -probability sample because we choose that sample |
|
|
| 228 |
| 00:18:36,300 --> 00:18:39,540 |
| without regard to their probability of occurrence. |
|
|
| 229 |
| 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:48,620 |
| The other type is called probability samples. In |
|
|
| 230 |
| 00:18:48,620 --> 00:18:54,200 |
| this case, items are chosen on the basis of non |
|
|
| 231 |
| 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:58,600 |
| -probabilities. For example, here, if males |
|
|
| 232 |
| 00:19:02,500 --> 00:19:11,060 |
| has or represent 30%, and females represent 70%, |
|
|
| 233 |
| 00:19:11,060 --> 00:19:14,840 |
| and the same size has a thousand. So in this case, |
|
|
| 234 |
| 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:19,340 |
| you have to choose females with respect to their |
|
|
| 235 |
| 00:19:19,340 --> 00:19:24,260 |
| probability. Now 70% for females, so I have to |
|
|
| 236 |
| 00:19:24,260 --> 00:19:29,430 |
| choose 700 for females and the remaining 300 for |
|
|
| 237 |
| 00:19:29,430 --> 00:19:34,010 |
| males. So in this case, I choose the items, I mean |
|
|
| 238 |
| 00:19:34,010 --> 00:19:37,970 |
| I choose my samples regarding to their |
|
|
| 239 |
| 00:19:37,970 --> 00:19:39,050 |
| probability. |
|
|
| 240 |
| 00:19:41,010 --> 00:19:45,190 |
| So in probability sample items and the sample are |
|
|
| 241 |
| 00:19:45,190 --> 00:19:48,610 |
| chosen on the basis of known probabilities. And |
|
|
| 242 |
| 00:19:48,610 --> 00:19:52,360 |
| again, there are two types. of probability |
|
|
| 243 |
| 00:19:52,360 --> 00:19:55,580 |
| samples, simple random sample, systematic, |
|
|
| 244 |
| 00:19:56,120 --> 00:19:59,660 |
| stratified, and cluster. Let's talk about each one |
|
|
| 245 |
| 00:19:59,660 --> 00:20:05,040 |
| in details. The first type is called a probability |
|
|
| 246 |
| 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:11,720 |
| sample. Simple random sample. The first type of |
|
|
| 247 |
| 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:16,200 |
| probability sample is the easiest one. Simple |
|
|
| 248 |
| 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:23,780 |
| random sample. Generally is denoted by SRS, Simple |
|
|
| 249 |
| 00:20:23,780 --> 00:20:30,660 |
| Random Sample. Let's see how can we choose a |
|
|
| 250 |
| 00:20:30,660 --> 00:20:35,120 |
| sample that is random. What do you mean by random? |
|
|
| 251 |
| 00:20:36,020 --> 00:20:41,780 |
| In this case, every individual or item from the |
|
|
| 252 |
| 00:20:41,780 --> 00:20:47,620 |
| frame has an equal chance of being selected. For |
|
|
| 253 |
| 00:20:47,620 --> 00:20:52,530 |
| example, suppose number of students in this class |
|
|
| 254 |
| 00:20:52,530 --> 00:21:04,010 |
| number of students is 52 so |
|
|
| 255 |
| 00:21:04,010 --> 00:21:11,890 |
| each one, I mean each student from |
|
|
| 256 |
| 00:21:11,890 --> 00:21:17,380 |
| 1 up to 52 has the same probability of being |
|
|
| 257 |
| 00:21:17,380 --> 00:21:23,860 |
| selected. 1 by 52. 1 by 52. 1 divided by 52. So |
|
|
| 258 |
| 00:21:23,860 --> 00:21:27,980 |
| each one has this probability. So the first one |
|
|
| 259 |
| 00:21:27,980 --> 00:21:31,820 |
| has the same because if I want to select for |
|
|
| 260 |
| 00:21:31,820 --> 00:21:37,680 |
| example 10 out of you. So the first one has each |
|
|
| 261 |
| 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:42,400 |
| one has probability of 1 out of 52. That's the |
|
|
| 262 |
| 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:47,160 |
| meaning ofEach item from the frame has an equal |
|
|
| 263 |
| 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:54,800 |
| chance of being selected. Selection may be with |
|
|
| 264 |
| 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:58,800 |
| replacement. With replacement means selected |
|
|
| 265 |
| 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,040 |
| individuals is returned to the frame for |
|
|
| 266 |
| 00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:04,880 |
| possibility selection, or without replacement |
|
|
| 267 |
| 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,600 |
| means selected individuals or item is not returned |
|
|
| 268 |
| 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:10,820 |
| to the frame. So we have two types of selection, |
|
|
| 269 |
| 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,360 |
| either with... So with replacement means item is |
|
|
| 270 |
| 00:22:14,360 --> 00:22:18,080 |
| returned back to the frame, or without population, |
|
|
| 271 |
| 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,400 |
| the item is not returned back to the frame. So |
|
|
| 272 |
| 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:26,490 |
| that's the two types of selection. Now how can we |
|
|
| 273 |
| 00:22:26,490 --> 00:22:29,810 |
| obtain the sample? Sample obtained from something |
|
|
| 274 |
| 00:22:29,810 --> 00:22:33,470 |
| called table of random numbers. In a minute I will |
|
|
| 275 |
| 00:22:33,470 --> 00:22:36,430 |
| show you the table of random numbers. And other |
|
|
| 276 |
| 00:22:36,430 --> 00:22:40,130 |
| method of selecting a sample by using computer |
|
|
| 277 |
| 00:22:40,130 --> 00:22:44,890 |
| random number generators. So there are two methods |
|
|
| 278 |
| 00:22:44,890 --> 00:22:48,310 |
| for selecting a random number. Either by using the |
|
|
| 279 |
| 00:22:48,310 --> 00:22:51,950 |
| table that you have at the end of your book or by |
|
|
| 280 |
| 00:22:51,950 --> 00:22:56,550 |
| using a computer. I will show one of these and in |
|
|
| 281 |
| 00:22:56,550 --> 00:22:59,650 |
| the SPSS course you will see another one which is |
|
|
| 282 |
| 00:22:59,650 --> 00:23:03,690 |
| by using a computer. So let's see how can we |
|
|
| 283 |
| 00:23:03,690 --> 00:23:11,730 |
| obtain a sample from table of |
|
|
| 284 |
| 00:23:11,730 --> 00:23:12,590 |
| random number. |
|
|
| 285 |
| 00:23:16,950 --> 00:23:22,090 |
| I have maybe different table here. But the same |
|
|
| 286 |
| 00:23:22,090 --> 00:23:28,090 |
| idea to use that table. Let's see how can we |
|
|
| 287 |
| 00:23:28,090 --> 00:23:34,990 |
| choose a sample by using a random number. |
|
|
| 288 |
| 00:23:42,490 --> 00:23:47,370 |
| Now, for example, suppose in this class As I |
|
|
| 289 |
| 00:23:47,370 --> 00:23:51,090 |
| mentioned, there are 52 students. |
|
|
| 290 |
| 00:23:55,110 --> 00:23:58,650 |
| So each one has a number, ID number one, two, up |
|
|
| 291 |
| 00:23:58,650 --> 00:24:05,110 |
| to 52. So the numbers are 01, 02, all the way up |
|
|
| 292 |
| 00:24:05,110 --> 00:24:10,790 |
| to 52. So the maximum digits here, two, two |
|
|
| 293 |
| 00:24:10,790 --> 00:24:11,110 |
| digits. |
|
|
| 294 |
| 00:24:15,150 --> 00:24:18,330 |
| 1, 2, 3, up to 5, 2, 2, so you have two digits. |
|
|
| 295 |
| 00:24:19,470 --> 00:24:23,710 |
| Now suppose I decided to take a random sample of |
|
|
| 296 |
| 00:24:23,710 --> 00:24:28,550 |
| size, for example, N instead. How can I select N |
|
|
| 297 |
| 00:24:28,550 --> 00:24:32,570 |
| out of U? In this case, each one has the same |
|
|
| 298 |
| 00:24:32,570 --> 00:24:36,790 |
| chance of being selected. Now based on this table, |
|
|
| 299 |
| 00:24:37,190 --> 00:24:44,230 |
| you can pick any row or any column. Randomly. For |
|
|
| 300 |
| 00:24:44,230 --> 00:24:51,630 |
| example, suppose I select the first row. Now, the |
|
|
| 301 |
| 00:24:51,630 --> 00:24:56,570 |
| first student will be selected as student number |
|
|
| 302 |
| 00:24:56,570 --> 00:25:03,650 |
| to take two digits. We have to take how many |
|
|
| 303 |
| 00:25:03,650 --> 00:25:08,770 |
| digits? Because students have ID card that |
|
|
| 304 |
| 00:25:08,770 --> 00:25:13,930 |
| consists of two digits, 0102 up to 52. So, what's |
|
|
| 305 |
| 00:25:13,930 --> 00:25:17,010 |
| the first number students will be selected based |
|
|
| 306 |
| 00:25:17,010 --> 00:25:22,130 |
| on this table? Forget about the line 101. |
|
|
| 307 |
| 00:25:26,270 --> 00:25:27,770 |
| Start with this number. |
|
|
| 308 |
| 00:25:42,100 --> 00:25:50,900 |
| So the first one, 19. The second, 22. The third |
|
|
| 309 |
| 00:25:50,900 --> 00:25:51,360 |
| student, |
|
|
| 310 |
| 00:25:54,960 --> 00:26:04,000 |
| 19, 22. The third, 9. The third, 9. I'm taking the |
|
|
| 311 |
| 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:16,510 |
| first row. Then fifth. 34 student |
|
|
| 312 |
| 00:26:16,510 --> 00:26:18,710 |
| number 05 |
|
|
| 313 |
| 00:26:24,340 --> 00:26:29,500 |
| Now, what's about seventy-five? Seventy-five is |
|
|
| 314 |
| 00:26:29,500 --> 00:26:33,660 |
| not selected because the maximum I have is fifty |
|
|
| 315 |
| 00:26:33,660 --> 00:26:46,180 |
| -two. Next. Sixty-two is not selected. Eighty |
|
|
| 316 |
| 00:26:46,180 --> 00:26:53,000 |
| -seven. It's not selected. 13. 13. It's okay. |
|
|
| 317 |
| 00:26:53,420 --> 00:27:01,740 |
| Next. 96. 96. Not selected. 14. 14 is okay. 91. |
|
|
| 318 |
| 00:27:02,140 --> 00:27:12,080 |
| 91. 91. Not selected. 95. 91. 45. 85. 31. 31. |
|
|
| 319 |
| 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:21,900 |
| So that's 10. So students numbers are 19, 22, 39, |
|
|
| 320 |
| 00:27:22,140 --> 00:27:26,980 |
| 50, 34, 5, 13, 4, 25 and take one will be |
|
|
| 321 |
| 00:27:26,980 --> 00:27:30,940 |
| selected. So these are the ID numbers will be |
|
|
| 322 |
| 00:27:30,940 --> 00:27:35,480 |
| selected in order to get a sample of 10. You |
|
|
| 323 |
| 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:40,500 |
| exclude |
|
|
| 324 |
| 00:27:40,500 --> 00:27:43,440 |
| that one. If the number is repeated, you have to |
|
|
| 325 |
| 00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:44,340 |
| exclude that one. |
|
|
| 326 |
| 00:27:51,370 --> 00:27:57,270 |
| is repeated, then excluded. |
|
|
| 327 |
| 00:28:02,370 --> 00:28:07,370 |
| So the returned number must be excluded from the |
|
|
| 328 |
| 00:28:07,370 --> 00:28:14,030 |
| sample. Let's imagine that we have not 52 |
|
|
| 329 |
| 00:28:14,030 --> 00:28:19,130 |
| students. We have 520 students. |
|
|
| 330 |
| 00:28:25,740 --> 00:28:32,520 |
| Now, I have large number, 52, 520 instead of 52 |
|
|
| 331 |
| 00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:36,080 |
| students. And again, my goal is to select just 10 |
|
|
| 332 |
| 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:42,220 |
| students out of 120. So each one has ID with |
|
|
| 333 |
| 00:28:42,220 --> 00:28:46,220 |
| number one, two, all the way up to 520. So the |
|
|
| 334 |
| 00:28:46,220 --> 00:28:53,160 |
| first one, 001. 002 all the way up to 520 now in |
|
|
| 335 |
| 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:56,480 |
| this case you have to choose three digits start |
|
|
| 336 |
| 00:28:56,480 --> 00:29:00,060 |
| for example you don't have actually to start with |
|
|
| 337 |
| 00:29:00,060 --> 00:29:03,060 |
| row number one maybe column number one or row |
|
|
| 338 |
| 00:29:03,060 --> 00:29:06,140 |
| number two whatever is fine so let's start with |
|
|
| 339 |
| 00:29:06,140 --> 00:29:10,460 |
| row number two for example row number 76 |
|
|
| 340 |
| 00:29:14,870 --> 00:29:19,950 |
| It's not selected. Because the maximum number I |
|
|
| 341 |
| 00:29:19,950 --> 00:29:25,110 |
| have is 5 to 20. So, 746 shouldn't be selected. |
|
|
| 342 |
| 00:29:26,130 --> 00:29:29,430 |
| The next one, 764. |
|
|
| 343 |
| 00:29:31,770 --> 00:29:38,750 |
| Again, it's not selected. 764, 715. Not selected. |
|
|
| 344 |
| 00:29:38,910 --> 00:29:42,310 |
| Next one is 715. |
|
|
| 345 |
| 00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:52,200 |
| 099 should be 0 that's |
|
|
| 346 |
| 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:54,940 |
| the way how can we use the random table for using |
|
|
| 347 |
| 00:29:54,940 --> 00:29:58,800 |
| or for selecting simple random symbols so in this |
|
|
| 348 |
| 00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:03,480 |
| case you can choose any row or any column then you |
|
|
| 349 |
| 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,620 |
| have to decide how many digits you have to select |
|
|
| 350 |
| 00:30:06,620 --> 00:30:10,500 |
| it depends on the number you have I mean the |
|
|
| 351 |
| 00:30:10,500 --> 00:30:16,510 |
| population size If for example Suppose I am |
|
|
| 352 |
| 00:30:16,510 --> 00:30:20,270 |
| talking about IUPUI students and for example, we |
|
|
| 353 |
| 00:30:20,270 --> 00:30:26,530 |
| have 30,000 students at this school And again, I |
|
|
| 354 |
| 00:30:26,530 --> 00:30:28,570 |
| want to select a random sample of size 10 for |
|
|
| 355 |
| 00:30:28,570 --> 00:30:35,190 |
| example So how many digits should I use? 20,000 |
|
|
| 356 |
| 00:30:35,190 --> 00:30:42,620 |
| Five digits And each one, each student has ID |
|
|
| 357 |
| 00:30:42,620 --> 00:30:51,760 |
| from, starts from the first one up to twenty |
|
|
| 358 |
| 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:56,680 |
| thousand. So now, start with, for example, the |
|
|
| 359 |
| 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,240 |
| last row you have. |
|
|
| 360 |
| 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:08,480 |
| The first number 54000 is not. 81 is not. None of |
|
|
| 361 |
| 00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:08,740 |
| these. |
|
|
| 362 |
| 00:31:12,420 --> 00:31:17,760 |
| Look at the next one. 71000 is not selected. Now |
|
|
| 363 |
| 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:22,180 |
| 9001. So the first number I have to select is |
|
|
| 364 |
| 00:31:22,180 --> 00:31:27,200 |
| 9001. None of the rest. Go back. |
|
|
| 365 |
| 00:31:30,180 --> 00:31:37,790 |
| Go to the next one. The second number, 12149 |
|
|
| 366 |
| 00:31:37,790 --> 00:31:45,790 |
| and so on. Next will be 18000 and so on. Next row, |
|
|
| 367 |
| 00:31:46,470 --> 00:31:55,530 |
| we can select the second one, then 16, then 14000, |
|
|
| 368 |
| 00:31:55,890 --> 00:32:00,850 |
| 6500 and so on. So this is the way how can we use |
|
|
| 369 |
| 00:32:00,850 --> 00:32:08,110 |
| the random table. It seems to be that tons of work |
|
|
| 370 |
| 00:32:08,110 --> 00:32:13,450 |
| if you have large sample. Because in this case, |
|
|
| 371 |
| 00:32:13,530 --> 00:32:16,430 |
| you have to choose, for example, suppose I am |
|
|
| 372 |
| 00:32:16,430 --> 00:32:22,390 |
| interested to take a random sample of 10,000. Now, |
|
|
| 373 |
| 00:32:22,510 --> 00:32:28,370 |
| to use this table to select 10,000 items takes |
|
|
| 374 |
| 00:32:28,370 --> 00:32:33,030 |
| time and effort and maybe will never finish. So |
|
|
| 375 |
| 00:32:33,030 --> 00:32:33,950 |
| it's better to use |
|
|
| 376 |
| 00:32:38,020 --> 00:32:42,100 |
| better to use computer |
|
|
| 377 |
| 00:32:42,100 --> 00:32:47,140 |
| random number generators. So that's the way if we, |
|
|
| 378 |
| 00:32:47,580 --> 00:32:51,880 |
| now we can use the random table only if the sample |
|
|
| 379 |
| 00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:57,780 |
| size is limited. I mean up to 100 maybe you can |
|
|
| 380 |
| 00:32:57,780 --> 00:33:03,160 |
| use the random table, but after that I think it's |
|
|
| 381 |
| 00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:08,670 |
| just you are losing your time. Another example |
|
|
| 382 |
| 00:33:08,670 --> 00:33:14,390 |
| here. Now suppose my sampling frame for population |
|
|
| 383 |
| 00:33:14,390 --> 00:33:23,230 |
| has 850 students. So the numbers are 001, 002, all |
|
|
| 384 |
| 00:33:23,230 --> 00:33:28,490 |
| the way up to 850. And suppose for example we are |
|
|
| 385 |
| 00:33:28,490 --> 00:33:33,610 |
| going to select five items randomly from that |
|
|
| 386 |
| 00:33:33,610 --> 00:33:39,610 |
| population. So you have to choose three digits and |
|
|
| 387 |
| 00:33:39,610 --> 00:33:44,990 |
| imagine that this is my portion of that table. |
|
|
| 388 |
| 00:33:45,850 --> 00:33:51,570 |
| Now, take three digits. The first three digits are |
|
|
| 389 |
| 00:33:51,570 --> 00:34:00,330 |
| 492. So the first item chosen should be item |
|
|
| 390 |
| 00:34:00,330 --> 00:34:10,540 |
| number 492. should be selected next one 800 808 |
|
|
| 391 |
| 00:34:10,540 --> 00:34:17,020 |
| doesn't select because the maximum it's much |
|
|
| 392 |
| 00:34:17,020 --> 00:34:21,100 |
| selected because the maximum here is 850 now next |
|
|
| 393 |
| 00:34:21,100 --> 00:34:26,360 |
| one 892 this |
|
|
| 394 |
| 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:32,140 |
| one is not selected next |
|
|
| 395 |
| 00:34:32,140 --> 00:34:43,030 |
| item four three five selected now |
|
|
| 396 |
| 00:34:43,030 --> 00:34:50,710 |
| seven seven nine should be selected finally zeros |
|
|
| 397 |
| 00:34:50,710 --> 00:34:53,130 |
| two should be selected so these are the five |
|
|
| 398 |
| 00:34:53,130 --> 00:34:58,090 |
| numbers in my sample by using selected by using |
|
|
| 399 |
| 00:34:58,090 --> 00:35:01,190 |
| the random sample any questions? |
|
|
| 400 |
| 00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:07,780 |
| Let's move to another part. |
|
|
| 401 |
| 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:22,380 |
| The next type of samples is called systematic |
|
|
| 402 |
| 00:35:22,380 --> 00:35:25,260 |
| samples. |
|
|
| 403 |
| 00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:35,780 |
| Now suppose N represents the sample size, capital |
|
|
| 404 |
| 00:35:35,780 --> 00:35:40,520 |
| N represents |
|
|
| 405 |
| 00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:42,220 |
| the population size. |
|
|
| 406 |
| 00:35:46,660 --> 00:35:49,900 |
| And let's see how can we choose a systematic |
|
|
| 407 |
| 00:35:49,900 --> 00:35:54,040 |
| random sample from that population. For example, |
|
|
| 408 |
| 00:35:55,260 --> 00:35:57,180 |
| suppose |
|
|
| 409 |
| 00:35:59,610 --> 00:36:05,010 |
| For this specific slide, there are 40 items in the |
|
|
| 410 |
| 00:36:05,010 --> 00:36:11,370 |
| population. And my goal is to select a sample of |
|
|
| 411 |
| 00:36:11,370 --> 00:36:16,210 |
| size 4 by using systematic random sampling. The |
|
|
| 412 |
| 00:36:16,210 --> 00:36:23,290 |
| first step is to find how many individuals will be |
|
|
| 413 |
| 00:36:23,290 --> 00:36:28,990 |
| in any group. Let's use this letter K. |
|
|
| 414 |
| 00:36:31,820 --> 00:36:36,940 |
| divide N by, divide frame of N individuals into |
|
|
| 415 |
| 00:36:36,940 --> 00:36:42,900 |
| groups of K individuals. So, K equal capital N |
|
|
| 416 |
| 00:36:42,900 --> 00:36:48,840 |
| over small n, this is number of items in a group. |
|
|
| 417 |
| 00:36:51,570 --> 00:36:56,510 |
| So K represents number of subjects or number of |
|
|
| 418 |
| 00:36:56,510 --> 00:37:02,750 |
| elements in a group. So for this example, K equals |
|
|
| 419 |
| 00:37:02,750 --> 00:37:09,710 |
| 40 divided by 4, so 10. So the group, each group |
|
|
| 420 |
| 00:37:09,710 --> 00:37:11,670 |
| has 10 items. |
|
|
| 421 |
| 00:37:16,630 --> 00:37:23,140 |
| So each group has 10 items. |
|
|
| 422 |
| 00:37:27,420 --> 00:37:33,860 |
| So group number 1, 10 items, and others have the |
|
|
| 423 |
| 00:37:33,860 --> 00:37:38,660 |
| same number. So first step, we have to decide how |
|
|
| 424 |
| 00:37:38,660 --> 00:37:42,110 |
| many items will be in the group. And that number |
|
|
| 425 |
| 00:37:42,110 --> 00:37:45,330 |
| equals N divided by small n, capital N divided by |
|
|
| 426 |
| 00:37:45,330 --> 00:37:48,910 |
| small n. In this case, N is 40, the sample size is |
|
|
| 427 |
| 00:37:48,910 --> 00:37:54,170 |
| 4, so there are 10 items in each individual. Next |
|
|
| 428 |
| 00:37:54,170 --> 00:38:02,850 |
| step, select randomly the first individual from |
|
|
| 429 |
| 00:38:02,850 --> 00:38:08,620 |
| the first group. For example, here. Now, how many |
|
|
| 430 |
| 00:38:08,620 --> 00:38:13,360 |
| we have here? We have 10 items. So, numbers are |
|
|
| 431 |
| 00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:19,060 |
| 01, 02, up to 10. I have to choose one more number |
|
|
| 432 |
| 00:38:19,060 --> 00:38:23,680 |
| from these numbers, from 1 to 10, by using the |
|
|
| 433 |
| 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:27,600 |
| random table again. So, I have to go back to the |
|
|
| 434 |
| 00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:33,730 |
| random table and I choose two digits. Now the |
|
|
| 435 |
| 00:38:33,730 --> 00:38:36,490 |
| first one is nineteen, twenty-two, thirty-nine, |
|
|
| 436 |
| 00:38:37,130 --> 00:38:43,450 |
| fifty, thirty-four, five. So I have to see. So |
|
|
| 437 |
| 00:38:43,450 --> 00:38:46,230 |
| number one is five. What's the next one? The next |
|
|
| 438 |
| 00:38:46,230 --> 00:38:54,190 |
| one just add K. K is ten. So next is fifteen. Then |
|
|
| 439 |
| 00:38:54,190 --> 00:38:58,010 |
| twenty-five, then thirty-four. |
|
|
| 440 |
| 00:39:02,900 --> 00:39:08,840 |
| Number size consists of four items. So the first |
|
|
| 441 |
| 00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:12,740 |
| number is chosen randomly by using the random |
|
|
| 442 |
| 00:39:12,740 --> 00:39:17,260 |
| table. The next number just add the step. This is |
|
|
| 443 |
| 00:39:17,260 --> 00:39:24,340 |
| step. So my step is 10 because number one is five. |
|
|
| 444 |
| 00:39:25,300 --> 00:39:27,800 |
| The first item I mean is five. Then it should be |
|
|
| 445 |
| 00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:31,780 |
| 15, 25, 35, and so on if we have more than that. |
|
|
| 446 |
| 00:39:33,230 --> 00:39:37,730 |
| Okay, so that's for, in this example, he choose |
|
|
| 447 |
| 00:39:37,730 --> 00:39:42,790 |
| item number seven. Random selection, number seven. |
|
|
| 448 |
| 00:39:43,230 --> 00:39:50,010 |
| So next should be 17, 27, 37, and so on. Let's do |
|
|
| 449 |
| 00:39:50,010 --> 00:39:50,710 |
| another example. |
|
|
| 450 |
| 00:39:58,590 --> 00:40:06,540 |
| Suppose there are In this class, there are 50 |
|
|
| 451 |
| 00:40:06,540 --> 00:40:12,400 |
| students. So the total is 50. |
|
|
| 452 |
| 00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:26,780 |
| 10 students out of 50. So my sample is 10. Now |
|
|
| 453 |
| 00:40:26,780 --> 00:40:30,260 |
| still, 50 divided by 10 is 50. |
|
|
| 454 |
| 00:40:33,630 --> 00:40:39,650 |
| So there are five items or five students in a |
|
|
| 455 |
| 00:40:39,650 --> 00:40:45,370 |
| group. So we have five in |
|
|
| 456 |
| 00:40:45,370 --> 00:40:51,490 |
| the first group and then five in the next one and |
|
|
| 457 |
| 00:40:51,490 --> 00:40:56,130 |
| so on. So we have how many groups? Ten groups. |
|
|
| 458 |
| 00:40:59,530 --> 00:41:04,330 |
| So first step, you have to find a step. Still it |
|
|
| 459 |
| 00:41:04,330 --> 00:41:07,930 |
| means number of items or number of students in a |
|
|
| 460 |
| 00:41:07,930 --> 00:41:16,170 |
| group. Next step, select student at random from |
|
|
| 461 |
| 00:41:16,170 --> 00:41:22,010 |
| the first group, so random selection. Now, here |
|
|
| 462 |
| 00:41:22,010 --> 00:41:28,610 |
| there are five students, so 01, I'm sorry, not 01, |
|
|
| 463 |
| 00:41:29,150 --> 00:41:35,080 |
| 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, so one digit. Only one digit. |
|
|
| 464 |
| 00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:39,420 |
| Because I have maximum number is five. So it's |
|
|
| 465 |
| 00:41:39,420 --> 00:41:42,920 |
| only one digit. So go again to the random table |
|
|
| 466 |
| 00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:48,220 |
| and take one digit. One. So my first item, six, |
|
|
| 467 |
| 00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:52,580 |
| eleven, sixteen, twenty-one, twenty-one, all the |
|
|
| 468 |
| 00:41:52,580 --> 00:41:55,500 |
| way up to ten items. |
|
|
| 469 |
| 00:42:13,130 --> 00:42:18,170 |
| So I choose student number one, then skip five, |
|
|
| 470 |
| 00:42:19,050 --> 00:42:22,230 |
| choose number six, and so on. It's called |
|
|
| 471 |
| 00:42:22,230 --> 00:42:26,130 |
| systematic. Because if you know the first item, |
|
|
| 472 |
| 00:42:28,550 --> 00:42:32,690 |
| and the step you can know the rest of these. |
|
|
| 473 |
| 00:42:37,310 --> 00:42:41,150 |
| Imagine that you want to select 10 students who |
|
|
| 474 |
| 00:42:41,150 --> 00:42:48,010 |
| entered the cafe shop or restaurant. You can pick |
|
|
| 475 |
| 00:42:48,010 --> 00:42:54,790 |
| one of them. So suppose I'm taking number three |
|
|
| 476 |
| 00:42:54,790 --> 00:43:00,550 |
| and my step is six. So three, then nine, and so |
|
|
| 477 |
| 00:43:00,550 --> 00:43:00,790 |
| on. |
|
|
| 478 |
| 00:43:05,830 --> 00:43:13,310 |
| So that's systematic assembly. Questions? So |
|
|
| 479 |
| 00:43:13,310 --> 00:43:20,710 |
| that's about random samples and systematic. What |
|
|
| 480 |
| 00:43:20,710 --> 00:43:23,550 |
| do you mean by stratified groups? |
|
|
| 481 |
| 00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:33,080 |
| Let's use a definition and an example of a |
|
|
| 482 |
| 00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:34,120 |
| stratified family. |
|
|
| 483 |
| 00:43:58,810 --> 00:44:05,790 |
| step one. So again imagine we have IUG population |
|
|
| 484 |
| 00:44:05,790 --> 00:44:11,490 |
| into two or more subgroups. So there are two or |
|
|
| 485 |
| 00:44:11,490 --> 00:44:16,010 |
| more. It depends on the characteristic you are |
|
|
| 486 |
| 00:44:16,010 --> 00:44:19,690 |
| using. So divide population into two or more |
|
|
| 487 |
| 00:44:19,690 --> 00:44:24,210 |
| subgroups according to some common characteristic. |
|
|
| 488 |
| 00:44:24,730 --> 00:44:30,280 |
| For example suppose I want to divide the student |
|
|
| 489 |
| 00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:32,080 |
| into gender. |
|
|
| 490 |
| 00:44:34,100 --> 00:44:38,840 |
| So males or females. So I have two strata. One is |
|
|
| 491 |
| 00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:43,000 |
| called males and the other is females. Now suppose |
|
|
| 492 |
| 00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:47,460 |
| the characteristic I am going to use is the levels |
|
|
| 493 |
| 00:44:47,460 --> 00:44:51,500 |
| of a student. First level, second, third, fourth, |
|
|
| 494 |
| 00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:56,280 |
| and so on. So number of strata here depends on |
|
|
| 495 |
| 00:44:56,280 --> 00:45:00,380 |
| actually the characteristic you are interested in. |
|
|
| 496 |
| 00:45:00,780 --> 00:45:04,860 |
| Let's use the simple one that is gender. So here |
|
|
| 497 |
| 00:45:04,860 --> 00:45:12,360 |
| we have females. So IUV students divided into two |
|
|
| 498 |
| 00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:18,560 |
| types, strata, or two groups, females and males. |
|
|
| 499 |
| 00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:22,870 |
| So this is the first step. So at least you should |
|
|
| 500 |
| 00:45:22,870 --> 00:45:26,750 |
| have two groups or two subgroups. So we have IELTS |
|
|
| 501 |
| 00:45:26,750 --> 00:45:29,630 |
| student, the entire population, and that |
|
|
| 502 |
| 00:45:29,630 --> 00:45:34,370 |
| population divided into two subgroups. Next, |
|
|
| 503 |
| 00:45:35,650 --> 00:45:39,730 |
| assemble random samples. Keep careful here with |
|
|
| 504 |
| 00:45:39,730 --> 00:45:45,770 |
| sample sizes proportional to strata sizes. That |
|
|
| 505 |
| 00:45:45,770 --> 00:45:57,890 |
| means suppose I know that Female consists |
|
|
| 506 |
| 00:45:57,890 --> 00:46:02,470 |
| of |
|
|
| 507 |
| 00:46:02,470 --> 00:46:09,770 |
| 70% of Irish students and |
|
|
| 508 |
| 00:46:09,770 --> 00:46:11,490 |
| males 30%. |
|
|
| 509 |
| 00:46:15,410 --> 00:46:17,950 |
| the sample size we are talking about here is for |
|
|
| 510 |
| 00:46:17,950 --> 00:46:21,550 |
| example is a thousand so I want to select a sample |
|
|
| 511 |
| 00:46:21,550 --> 00:46:24,990 |
| of a thousand seed from the registration office or |
|
|
| 512 |
| 00:46:24,990 --> 00:46:31,190 |
| my information about that is males represent 30% |
|
|
| 513 |
| 00:46:31,190 --> 00:46:37,650 |
| females represent 70% so in this case your sample |
|
|
| 514 |
| 00:46:37,650 --> 00:46:43,650 |
| structure should be 70% times |
|
|
| 515 |
| 00:46:50,090 --> 00:46:59,090 |
| So the first |
|
|
| 516 |
| 00:46:59,090 --> 00:47:03,750 |
| group should have 700 items of students and the |
|
|
| 517 |
| 00:47:03,750 --> 00:47:06,490 |
| other one is 300,000. |
|
|
| 518 |
| 00:47:09,230 --> 00:47:11,650 |
| So this is the second step. |
|
|
| 519 |
| 00:47:14,420 --> 00:47:17,740 |
| Sample sizes are determined in step number two. |
|
|
| 520 |
| 00:47:18,540 --> 00:47:22,200 |
| Now, how can you select the 700 females here? |
|
|
| 521 |
| 00:47:23,660 --> 00:47:26,180 |
| Again, you have to go back to the random table. |
|
|
| 522 |
| 00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:31,660 |
| Samples from subgroups are compiled into one. Then |
|
|
| 523 |
| 00:47:31,660 --> 00:47:39,600 |
| you can use symbol random sample. So here, 700. I |
|
|
| 524 |
| 00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:45,190 |
| have, for example, 70% females. And I know that I |
|
|
| 525 |
| 00:47:45,190 --> 00:47:51,370 |
| use student help. I have ideas numbers from 1 up |
|
|
| 526 |
| 00:47:51,370 --> 00:47:59,070 |
| to 7, 14. Then by using simple random, simple |
|
|
| 527 |
| 00:47:59,070 --> 00:48:01,070 |
| random table, you can. |
|
|
| 528 |
| 00:48:09,490 --> 00:48:15,190 |
| So if you go back to the table, the first item, |
|
|
| 529 |
| 00:48:16,650 --> 00:48:23,130 |
| now look at five digits. Nineteen is not selected. |
|
|
| 530 |
| 00:48:24,830 --> 00:48:27,510 |
| Nineteen. I have, the maximum is fourteen |
|
|
| 531 |
| 00:48:27,510 --> 00:48:31,890 |
| thousand. So skip one and two. The first item is |
|
|
| 532 |
| 00:48:31,890 --> 00:48:37,850 |
| seven hundred and fifty-six. The first item. Next |
|
|
| 533 |
| 00:48:37,850 --> 00:48:43,480 |
| is not chosen. Next is not chosen. Number six. |
|
|
| 534 |
| 00:48:43,740 --> 00:48:44,580 |
| Twelve. |
|
|
| 535 |
| 00:48:47,420 --> 00:48:50,620 |
| Zero. Unsure. |
|
|
| 536 |
| 00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:58,940 |
| So here we divide the population into two groups |
|
|
| 537 |
| 00:48:58,940 --> 00:49:03,440 |
| or two subgroups, females and males. And we select |
|
|
| 538 |
| 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:07,020 |
| a random sample of size 700 based on the |
|
|
| 539 |
| 00:49:07,020 --> 00:49:10,850 |
| proportion of this subgroup. Then we are using the |
|
|
| 540 |
| 00:49:10,850 --> 00:49:16,750 |
| simple random table to take the 700 females. |
|
|
| 541 |
| 00:49:22,090 --> 00:49:29,810 |
| Now for this example, there are 16 items or 16 |
|
|
| 542 |
| 00:49:29,810 --> 00:49:35,030 |
| students in each group. And he select randomly |
|
|
| 543 |
| 00:49:35,030 --> 00:49:40,700 |
| number three, number 9, number 13, and so on. So |
|
|
| 544 |
| 00:49:40,700 --> 00:49:44,140 |
| it's a random selection. Another example. |
|
|
| 545 |
| 00:49:46,820 --> 00:49:52,420 |
| Suppose again we are talking about all IUVs. |
|
|
| 546 |
| 00:50:02,780 --> 00:50:09,360 |
| Here I divided the population according to the |
|
|
| 547 |
| 00:50:09,360 --> 00:50:17,680 |
| students' levels. Level one, level two, three |
|
|
| 548 |
| 00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:18,240 |
| levels. |
|
|
| 549 |
| 00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:28,300 |
| One, two, three and four. |
|
|
| 550 |
| 00:50:32,240 --> 00:50:39,710 |
| So I divide the population into four subgroups |
|
|
| 551 |
| 00:50:39,710 --> 00:50:43,170 |
| according to the student levels. So one, two, |
|
|
| 552 |
| 00:50:43,290 --> 00:50:48,030 |
| three, and four. Now, a simple random sample is |
|
|
| 553 |
| 00:50:48,030 --> 00:50:52,070 |
| selected from each subgroup with sample sizes |
|
|
| 554 |
| 00:50:52,070 --> 00:50:57,670 |
| proportional to strata size. Imagine that level |
|
|
| 555 |
| 00:50:57,670 --> 00:51:04,950 |
| number one represents 40% of the students. Level |
|
|
| 556 |
| 00:51:04,950 --> 00:51:17,630 |
| 2, 20%. Level 3, 30%. Just |
|
|
| 557 |
| 00:51:17,630 --> 00:51:22,850 |
| an example. To make more sense? |
|
|
| 558 |
| 00:51:34,990 --> 00:51:36,070 |
| My sample size? |
|
|
| 559 |
| 00:51:38,750 --> 00:51:39,910 |
| 3, |
|
|
| 560 |
| 00:51:41,910 --> 00:51:46,430 |
| 9, 15, 4, sorry. |
|
|
| 561 |
| 00:51:53,290 --> 00:52:00,470 |
| So here, there are four levels. And the |
|
|
| 562 |
| 00:52:00,470 --> 00:52:04,370 |
| proportions are 48 |
|
|
| 563 |
| 00:52:06,670 --> 00:52:17,190 |
| sample size is 500 so the sample for each strata |
|
|
| 564 |
| 00:52:17,190 --> 00:52:31,190 |
| will be number 1 40% times 500 gives 200 the next |
|
|
| 565 |
| 00:52:31,190 --> 00:52:32,950 |
| 150 |
|
|
| 566 |
| 00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:42,380 |
| And so on. Now, how can we choose the 200 from |
|
|
| 567 |
| 00:52:42,380 --> 00:52:46,280 |
| level number one? Again, we have to choose the |
|
|
| 568 |
| 00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:55,540 |
| random table. Now, 40% from this number, it means |
|
|
| 569 |
| 00:52:55,540 --> 00:52:59,620 |
| 5 |
|
|
| 570 |
| 00:52:59,620 --> 00:53:06,400 |
| ,000. This one has 5,000. 600 females students. |
|
|
| 571 |
| 00:53:07,720 --> 00:53:13,480 |
| Because 40% of females in level 1. And I know that |
|
|
| 572 |
| 00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:17,780 |
| the total number of females is 14,000. So number |
|
|
| 573 |
| 00:53:17,780 --> 00:53:23,420 |
| of females in the first level is 5600. How many |
|
|
| 574 |
| 00:53:23,420 --> 00:53:28,040 |
| digits we have? Four digits. The first one, 001, |
|
|
| 575 |
| 00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:34,460 |
| all the way up to 560. If you go back, into a |
|
|
| 576 |
| 00:53:34,460 --> 00:53:39,520 |
| random table, take five, four digits. So the first |
|
|
| 577 |
| 00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:43,340 |
| number is 1922. |
|
|
| 578 |
| 00:53:43,980 --> 00:53:48,000 |
| Next is 3950. |
|
|
| 579 |
| 00:53:50,140 --> 00:53:54,760 |
| And so on. So that's the way how can we choose |
|
|
| 580 |
| 00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:58,640 |
| stratified samples. |
|
|
| 581 |
| 00:54:02,360 --> 00:54:08,240 |
| Next, the last one is called clusters. And let's |
|
|
| 582 |
| 00:54:08,240 --> 00:54:11,400 |
| see now what's the difference between stratified |
|
|
| 583 |
| 00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:16,500 |
| and cluster. Step one. |
|
|
| 584 |
| 00:54:25,300 --> 00:54:31,720 |
| Population is divided into some clusters. |
|
|
| 585 |
| 00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:41,160 |
| Step two, assemble one by assembling clusters |
|
|
| 586 |
| 00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:42,740 |
| selective. |
|
|
| 587 |
| 00:54:46,100 --> 00:54:48,640 |
| Here suppose how many clusters? |
|
|
| 588 |
| 00:54:53,560 --> 00:54:58,080 |
| 16 clusters. So there are, so the population has |
|
|
| 589 |
| 00:55:19,310 --> 00:55:25,820 |
| Step two, you have to choose a simple random |
|
|
| 590 |
| 00:55:25,820 --> 00:55:31,440 |
| number of clusters out of 16. Suppose I decided to |
|
|
| 591 |
| 00:55:31,440 --> 00:55:38,300 |
| choose three among these. So we have 16 clusters. |
|
|
| 592 |
| 00:55:45,340 --> 00:55:49,780 |
| For example, I chose cluster number 411. |
|
|
| 593 |
| 00:55:51,640 --> 00:56:01,030 |
| So I choose these clusters. Next, all items in the |
|
|
| 594 |
| 00:56:01,030 --> 00:56:02,910 |
| selected clusters can be used. |
|
|
| 595 |
| 00:56:09,130 --> 00:56:15,770 |
| Or items |
|
|
| 596 |
| 00:56:15,770 --> 00:56:18,910 |
| can be chosen from a cluster using another |
|
|
| 597 |
| 00:56:18,910 --> 00:56:21,130 |
| probability sampling technique. For example, |
|
|
| 598 |
| 00:56:23,190 --> 00:56:28,840 |
| imagine that We are talking about students who |
|
|
| 599 |
| 00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:31,460 |
| registered for accounting. |
|
|
| 600 |
| 00:56:45,880 --> 00:56:50,540 |
| Imagine that we have six sections for accounting. |
|
|
| 601 |
| 00:56:55,850 --> 00:56:56,650 |
| six sections. |
|
|
| 602 |
| 00:57:00,310 --> 00:57:05,210 |
| And I just choose two of these, cluster number one |
|
|
| 603 |
| 00:57:05,210 --> 00:57:08,910 |
| or section number one and the last one. So my |
|
|
| 604 |
| 00:57:08,910 --> 00:57:12,590 |
| chosen clusters are number one and six, one and |
|
|
| 605 |
| 00:57:12,590 --> 00:57:19,090 |
| six. Or you can use the one we just talked about, |
|
|
| 606 |
| 00:57:19,590 --> 00:57:23,340 |
| stratified random sample. instead of using all for |
|
|
| 607 |
| 00:57:23,340 --> 00:57:29,140 |
| example suppose there are in this section there |
|
|
| 608 |
| 00:57:29,140 --> 00:57:36,180 |
| are 73 models and the other one there are 80 |
|
|
| 609 |
| 00:57:36,180 --> 00:57:42,300 |
| models and |
|
|
| 610 |
| 00:57:42,300 --> 00:57:46,720 |
| the sample size here I am going to use case 20 |
|
|
| 611 |
| 00:57:50,900 --> 00:57:56,520 |
| So you can use 10 here and 10 in the other one, or |
|
|
| 612 |
| 00:57:56,520 --> 00:58:03,060 |
| it depends on the proportions. Now, 70 represents |
|
|
| 613 |
| 00:58:03,060 --> 00:58:09,580 |
| 70 out of 150, because there are 150 students in |
|
|
| 614 |
| 00:58:09,580 --> 00:58:14,060 |
| these two clusters. Now, the entire population is |
|
|
| 615 |
| 00:58:14,060 --> 00:58:17,300 |
| not the number for each of all of these clusters, |
|
|
| 616 |
| 00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:22,310 |
| just number one sixth. So there are 150 students |
|
|
| 617 |
| 00:58:22,310 --> 00:58:25,090 |
| in these two selected clusters. So the population |
|
|
| 618 |
| 00:58:25,090 --> 00:58:30,030 |
| size is 150. Make sense? Then the proportion here |
|
|
| 619 |
| 00:58:30,030 --> 00:58:33,210 |
| is 700 divided by 150 times 20. |
|
|
| 620 |
| 00:58:35,970 --> 00:58:41,610 |
| The other one, 80 divided by 150 times 20. |
|
|
| 621 |
| 00:58:51,680 --> 00:58:55,960 |
| So again, all items in the selected clusters can |
|
|
| 622 |
| 00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:59,400 |
| be used or items can be chosen from the cluster |
|
|
| 623 |
| 00:58:59,400 --> 00:59:01,500 |
| using another probability technique as we |
|
|
| 624 |
| 00:59:01,500 --> 00:59:06,640 |
| mentioned. Let's see how can we use another |
|
|
| 625 |
| 00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:10,860 |
| example. Let's talk about again AUG students. |
|
|
| 626 |
| 00:59:28,400 --> 00:59:31,800 |
| I choose suppose level number 2 and level number |
|
|
| 627 |
| 00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:37,680 |
| 4, two levels, 2 and 4. Then you can take either |
|
|
| 628 |
| 00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:43,380 |
| all the students here or just assemble size |
|
|
| 629 |
| 00:59:43,380 --> 00:59:46,460 |
| proportion to the |
|
|
| 630 |
| 00:59:50,310 --> 00:59:54,130 |
| For example, this one represents 20%, and my |
|
|
| 631 |
| 00:59:54,130 --> 00:59:56,730 |
| sample size is 1000, so in this case you have to |
|
|
| 632 |
| 00:59:56,730 --> 01:00:00,310 |
| take 200 and 800 from that one. |
|
|
| 633 |
| 01:00:03,050 --> 01:00:04,050 |
| Any questions? |
|
|
|
|