At the time, he thought that the probability of nuclear war resulting from the crisis might have been one in 50 (though he rated the risk much higher after he learned in the 1990’s that the Soviets had already delivered nuclear weapons to Cuba).
Na altura, pensou que a probabilidade de guerra nuclear resultante da crise poderia ter sido de 1 em 50 (embora tenha avaliado um risco muito maior depois de saber, na década de 1990, que os soviéticos já tinham entregue armas nucleares a Cuba).