Datasets:
market_source stringclasses 1
value | market_id stringclasses 738
values | question stringclasses 720
values | question_type stringclasses 2
values | unit null | url stringclasses 195
values | description stringclasses 688
values | resolution_criteria null | categories null | tags null | snapshot_time int64 1.74B 1.76B | snapshot_datetime stringdate 2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-10-31 00:00:00 | close_time int64 1.74B 1.83B | close_datetime stringdate 2025-04-01 07:00:00 2027-12-31 07:00:00 | days_until_close float64 1.02 1.09k | resolution_time float64 1.74B 1.76B ⌀ | community_pred_now stringlengths 3 110 | community_pred_1day stringlengths 3 110 | community_pred_3day stringlengths 3 110 | community_pred_1week stringlengths 3 110 | community_pred_2week stringlengths 3 110 | community_pred_1month stringlengths 3 109 | pred_1week_is_resolution bool 2
classes | pred_1month_is_resolution bool 2
classes | resolution stringclasses 66
values | resolution_numeric stringclasses 33
values | model_pred_now null | outcomes stringclasses 70
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
kalshi | NONCOMPETEBAN | Non-compete ban overturned? - By 2030 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/NONCOMPETEBAN | If the FTC's non-compete ban has been overturned by the courts or by Congress by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,683,288 | 2025-10-28T13:28:08 | 300.519537 | 1,761,683,288 | 0.705 | 0.705 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.855 | 0.85 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-30 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2030 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,442 | 2025-11-03T07:24:02 | 306.308356 | 1,762,183,442 | 0.965 | 0.965 | 0.965 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.945 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-29 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2029 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,431 | 2025-11-03T07:23:51 | 306.308229 | 1,762,183,431 | 0.945 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.935 | 0.905 | 0.86 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-28 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2028 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,477 | 2025-11-03T07:24:37 | 306.308762 | 1,762,183,477 | 0.89 | 0.885 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.855 | 0.745 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-27 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2027 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,415 | 2025-11-03T07:23:35 | 306.308044 | 1,762,183,415 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.62 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-26 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2026 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,406 | 2025-11-03T07:23:26 | 306.30794 | 1,762,183,406 | 0.655 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.595 | 0.59 | 0.545 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-JP | Which countries will have a recession? - Japan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,094.291667 | null | 0.495 | 0.435 | 0.435 | 0.425 | 0.42 | 0.535 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-IN | Which countries will have a recession? - India | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If India has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for India is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,094.291667 | null | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.295 | 0.26 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-GER | Which countries will have a recession? - Germany | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If Germany has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for Germany is Gross Domestic Product, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,193,549 | 2025-11-03T10:12:29 | 306.425336 | 1,762,193,549 | 0.54 | 0.725 | 0.725 | 0.72 | 0.68 | 0.66 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-UK | Which countries will have a recession? - United Kingdom | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,094.291667 | null | 0.655 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.635 | 0.58 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-PRC | Which countries will have a recession? - China | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,094.291667 | null | 0.215 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.255 | 0.335 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | LEAVEPOWELL-25-DEC31 | Powell out as Chair? - Before 2026 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/LEAVEPOWELL | If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,243,540 | 2025-12-31T20:59:00 | 364.874306 | null | 0.29 | 0.285 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.225 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXLTGOVVA-25 | Who will win the Lieutenant Governor race in Virginia? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLTGOVVA-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,479,995 | 2025-11-06T17:46:35 | 309.740683 | 1,762,479,995 | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | false | false | Ghazala Hashmi | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["John Reid", "Ghazala Hashmi"] |
kalshi | KXATTYGENVA-25 | Who will win the Attorney General race in Virginia? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXATTYGENVA-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,485,625 | 2025-11-06T19:20:25 | 309.805845 | 1,762,485,625 | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.255, 0.75] | [0.255, 0.745] | [0.265, 0.74] | false | false | Jay Jones | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Jason Miyares", "Jay Jones"] |
kalshi | GOVPARTYNJ-25 | New Jersey Governor winner? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYNJ-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,485,494 | 2025-11-06T19:18:14 | 309.804329 | 1,762,485,494 | [0.205, 0.79] | [0.205, 0.79] | [0.205, 0.795] | [0.21, 0.795] | [0.215, 0.79] | [0.245, 0.765] | false | false | Mikie Sherrill | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Jack Ciattarelli", "Mikie Sherrill"] |
kalshi | GOVPARTYVA-25 | Virginia Governor winner? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYVA-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,477,276 | 2025-11-06T17:01:16 | 309.709213 | 1,762,477,276 | [0.22, 0.775] | [0.22, 0.775] | [0.21, 0.79] | [0.215, 0.785] | [0.225, 0.77] | [0.2, 0.79] | false | false | Abigail Spanberger | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Winsome Earle-Sears", "Abigail Spanberger"] |
kalshi | KXSURGEON-26JAN01-JN | Will Janette Nesheiwat be confirmed as Surgeon General? - Janette Nesheiwat | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSURGEON | If Janette Nesheiwat is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Surgeon General before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,022,625 | 2025-11-01T11:43:45 | 304.447049 | 1,762,022,625 | 0.905 | 0.915 | 0.915 | 0.915 | 0.925 | 0.93 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-UAE | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - United Arab Emirates | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits United Arab Emirates after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,747,492,759 | 2025-05-17T07:39:19 | 136.277303 | 1,747,492,759 | 0.46 | 0.455 | 0.465 | 0.46 | 0.475 | 0.605 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-SING | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Singapore | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Singapore after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.145 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.175 | 0.145 | 0.15 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-SAF | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - South Africa | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits South Africa after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.845 | 0.845 | 0.795 | 0.82 | 0.815 | 0.81 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-ROC | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Taiwan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.15 | 0.155 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.155 | 0.095 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PERU | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Peru | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Peru after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.145 | 0.145 | 0.045 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PAL | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Palestine | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Palestine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.145 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.16 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PAK | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Pakistan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Pakistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.095 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.105 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-P | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Poland | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Poland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.2 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.225 | 0.27 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-MEX | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Mexico | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Mexico after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.245 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.275 | 0.27 | 0.265 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-IR | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Ireland | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Ireland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.495 | 0.495 | 0.495 | 0.495 | 0.5 | 0.365 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-I | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Italy | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Italy after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,745,716,735 | 2025-04-26T18:18:55 | 115.72147 | 1,745,716,735 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.4 | 0.405 | 0.53 | 0.71 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-DEN | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Denmark | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Denmark after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.145 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.185 | 0.23 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-AUS | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Australia | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Australia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.215 | 0.21 | 0.215 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-A | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Argentina | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Argentina after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.77 | 0.755 | 0.635 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-V | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Vietnam | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Vietnam after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.195 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.225 | 0.22 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-T | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Turkey | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Turkey after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.2 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.205 | 0.22 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-SK | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - South Korea | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits South Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,758,084 | 2025-10-29T10:14:44 | 301.385231 | 1,761,758,084 | 0.655 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.655 | 0.695 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-RU | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Russia | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.19 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.23 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PRC | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - China | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits China after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.3 | 0.305 | 0.305 | 0.325 | 0.3 | 0.7 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-NK | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - North Korea | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.095 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.125 | 0.13 | 0.155 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-J | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Japan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Japan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,758,139 | 2025-10-29T10:15:39 | 301.385868 | 1,761,758,139 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.425 | 0.425 | 0.63 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-IN | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - India | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits India after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.545 | 0.67 | 0.8 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-HU | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Hungary | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Hungary after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.305 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.365 | 0.325 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-FR | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - France | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits France after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.575 | 0.575 | 0.575 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.705 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-DEU | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Germany | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Germany after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.565 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.565 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-BR | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Brazil | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Brazil after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.245 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.245 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-B | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Belgium | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Belgium after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.255 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.25 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-UKR | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Ukraine | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Ukraine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 365.291667 | null | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.265 | 0.285 | 0.32 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-UK | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - United Kingdom | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits United Kingdom after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,753,730,334 | 2025-07-28T12:18:54 | 208.471458 | 1,753,730,334 | 0.705 | 0.705 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.81 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-SA | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Saudi Arabia | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Saudi Arabia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,747,492,727 | 2025-05-17T07:38:47 | 136.276933 | 1,747,492,727 | 0.705 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.695 | 0.7 | 0.815 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-IS | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Israel | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Israel after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,760,410,995 | 2025-10-13T20:03:15 | 285.793924 | 1,760,410,995 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.805 | 0.8 | 0.735 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-CA | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Canada | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Canada after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,750,093,713 | 2025-06-16T10:08:33 | 166.380938 | 1,750,093,713 | 0.89 | 0.885 | 0.885 | 0.885 | 0.9 | 0.91 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXMUSKWEALTH-26-500 | How rich will Elon Musk get before 2026? - More than $500 billion | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMUSKWEALTH | If Elon Musk has a net worth more than 500 billion dollars before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,249 | 2025-11-03T07:20:49 | 306.306123 | 1,762,183,249 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXSHUTDOWNBY-25 | Government shutdown in 2025? - Before 2026 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSHUTDOWNBY | If the government is shutdown at any 10:00 AM ET before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,759,327,302 | 2025-10-01T07:01:42 | 273.251181 | 1,759,327,302 | 0.245 | 0.24 | 0.235 | 0.26 | 0.235 | 0.28 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXFERTILITYSK-24 | Will South Korean birth rate drop again in 2024? - In 2024 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXFERTILITYSK | If the total fertility rate for South Korea in 2024 is lower than the previous year, then the market resolves to Yes.
The total fertility rate in South Korea in 2023 was 0.72. | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,158,078 | 2025-10-22T11:34:38 | 294.440718 | 1,761,158,078 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.135 | 0.12 | 0.125 | 0.06 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXDEFICIT-25 | Will the deficit be smaller in 2025 than in 2024? - In fiscal year 2025 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXDEFICIT | If the federal deficit is smaller in fiscal year 2025 than 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,760,644,606 | 2025-10-16T12:56:46 | 288.497755 | 1,760,644,606 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.275 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXVAHOUSE-25 | Who will win the Virginia House of Delegates? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXVAHOUSE-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,534,688 | 2025-11-07T08:58:08 | 310.373704 | 1,762,534,688 | [0.275, 0.495] | [0.24, 0.78] | [0.235, 0.785] | [0.24, 0.78] | [0.255, 0.745] | [0.26, 0.75] | false | false | Democratic Party | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Republican Party", "Democratic Party"] |
kalshi | KXADAMSDLEAVE-25NOV04 | Will Eric Adams stop being a Democrat? - Before election day 2025 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXADAMSDLEAVE | If Eric Adams announces that he is leaving the Democratic Party before Nov 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,762,268,400 | 2025-11-04T07:00:00 | 307.291667 | 1,762,268,400 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.355 | 0.43 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T5.25 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 5.25% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.035 | 0.045 | 0.04 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T5.00 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 5.00% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.00% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.06 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T4.75 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 4.75% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.75% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.08 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T4.50 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 4.50% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.105 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.15 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T4.25 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 4.25% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.255 | 0.245 | 0.245 | 0.34 | 0.405 | 0.26 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T4.00 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 4.00% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.605 | 0.52 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T3.75 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 3.75% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.7 | 0.725 | 0.69 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T3.50 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 3.50% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.795 | 0.795 | 0.795 | 0.79 | 0.835 | 0.805 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T3.25 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 3.25% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.875 | 0.875 | 0.875 | 0.865 | 0.88 | 0.87 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T3.00 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 3.00% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.00% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.925 | 0.945 | 0.92 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | FED-25OCT-T2.75 | Fed funds rate in Oct 2025? - Above 2.75% | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/FED | If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their... | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,761,760,500 | 2025-10-29T10:55:00 | 301.413194 | 1,761,760,500 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.935 | 0.93 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXNORWAYPM-25 | Who will be the next Norwegian Prime Minister? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNORWAYPM-25 | For the next Parliament | null | null | null | 1,735,718,400 | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 1,760,300,632 | 2025-10-12T13:23:52 | 284.516574 | 1,760,300,632 | [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.295, 0.185, 0.505, 0.01] | [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.295, 0.185, 0.505, 0.01] | [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.295, 0.185, 0.505, 0.01] | [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.295, 0.185, 0.505, 0.01] | [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.27, 0.175, 0.55, 0.01] | [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.27, 0.175, 0.55, 0.01] | false | false | Jonas Gahr Støre | [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0] | null | ["Kristi Bergst\u00f8", "Marie Sneve Martinussen", "Irene Ojala", "Guri Melby", "Arild Hermstad", "Olaug Bollestad", "Sylvi Listhaug", "Jonas Gahr St\u00f8re", "Erna Solberg", "Trygve Slagsvold Vedum"] |
kalshi | NONCOMPETEBAN | Non-compete ban overturned? - By 2030 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/NONCOMPETEBAN | If the FTC's non-compete ban has been overturned by the courts or by Congress by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,761,683,288 | 2025-10-28T13:28:08 | 297.519537 | 1,761,683,288 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.855 | 0.85 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-30 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2030 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,442 | 2025-11-03T07:24:02 | 303.308356 | 1,762,183,442 | 0.965 | 0.965 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.945 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-29 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2029 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,431 | 2025-11-03T07:23:51 | 303.308229 | 1,762,183,431 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.935 | 0.925 | 0.88 | 0.84 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-28 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2028 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,477 | 2025-11-03T07:24:37 | 303.308762 | 1,762,183,477 | 0.86 | 0.855 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.795 | 0.745 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-27 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2027 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,415 | 2025-11-03T07:23:35 | 303.308044 | 1,762,183,415 | 0.77 | 0.765 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.61 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXHALFTRIL-26 | When will there be a half-trillionaire? - Before 2026 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXHALFTRIL | If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Forbes billlionaire list will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,183,406 | 2025-11-03T07:23:26 | 303.30794 | 1,762,183,406 | 0.59 | 0.585 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.595 | 0.53 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-JP | Which countries will have a recession? - Japan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,091.291667 | null | 0.435 | 0.435 | 0.435 | 0.405 | 0.42 | 0.535 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-IN | Which countries will have a recession? - India | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If India has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for India is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,091.291667 | null | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.3 | 0.27 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-GER | Which countries will have a recession? - Germany | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If Germany has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for Germany is Gross Domestic Product, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,193,549 | 2025-11-03T10:12:29 | 303.425336 | 1,762,193,549 | 0.725 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.685 | 0.66 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-UK | Which countries will have a recession? - United Kingdom | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,091.291667 | null | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.635 | 0.58 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | WRECSS-26-PRC | Which countries will have a recession? - China | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/WRECSS | If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,830,265,200 | 2027-12-31T07:00:00 | 1,091.291667 | null | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.225 | 0.27 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | LEAVEPOWELL-25-DEC31 | Powell out as Chair? - Before 2026 | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/LEAVEPOWELL | If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,243,540 | 2025-12-31T20:59:00 | 361.874306 | null | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.245 | 0.225 | 0.185 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXLTGOVVA-25 | Who will win the Lieutenant Governor race in Virginia? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLTGOVVA-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,479,995 | 2025-11-06T17:46:35 | 306.740683 | 1,762,479,995 | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.245, 0.755] | false | false | Ghazala Hashmi | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["John Reid", "Ghazala Hashmi"] |
kalshi | KXATTYGENVA-25 | Who will win the Attorney General race in Virginia? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXATTYGENVA-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,485,625 | 2025-11-06T19:20:25 | 306.805845 | 1,762,485,625 | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.25, 0.75] | [0.255, 0.75] | [0.255, 0.75] | [0.26, 0.745] | [0.265, 0.74] | false | false | Jay Jones | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Jason Miyares", "Jay Jones"] |
kalshi | GOVPARTYNJ-25 | New Jersey Governor winner? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYNJ-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,485,494 | 2025-11-06T19:18:14 | 306.804329 | 1,762,485,494 | [0.205, 0.795] | [0.205, 0.795] | [0.205, 0.795] | [0.21, 0.795] | [0.215, 0.785] | [0.235, 0.765] | false | false | Mikie Sherrill | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Jack Ciattarelli", "Mikie Sherrill"] |
kalshi | GOVPARTYVA-25 | Virginia Governor winner? | multiple_choice | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYVA-25 | In 2025 | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,477,276 | 2025-11-06T17:01:16 | 306.709213 | 1,762,477,276 | [0.21, 0.79] | [0.21, 0.795] | [0.215, 0.79] | [0.225, 0.78] | [0.23, 0.77] | [0.165, 0.835] | false | false | Abigail Spanberger | [0.0, 1.0] | null | ["Winsome Earle-Sears", "Abigail Spanberger"] |
kalshi | KXSURGEON-26JAN01-JN | Will Janette Nesheiwat be confirmed as Surgeon General? - Janette Nesheiwat | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSURGEON | If Janette Nesheiwat is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Surgeon General before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
| null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,762,022,625 | 2025-11-01T11:43:45 | 301.447049 | 1,762,022,625 | 0.915 | 0.915 | 0.915 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.94 | false | false | no | 0.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-UAE | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - United Arab Emirates | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits United Arab Emirates after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,747,492,759 | 2025-05-17T07:39:19 | 133.277303 | 1,747,492,759 | 0.465 | 0.465 | 0.455 | 0.68 | 0.475 | 0.605 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-SING | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Singapore | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Singapore after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.145 | 0.155 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-SAF | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - South Africa | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits South Africa after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.795 | 0.84 | 0.845 | 0.84 | 0.8 | 0.795 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-ROC | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Taiwan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.165 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.095 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PERU | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Peru | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Peru after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.13 | 0.125 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.145 | 0.05 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PAL | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Palestine | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Palestine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.15 | 0.145 | 0.145 | 0.205 | 0.15 | 0.165 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-PAK | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Pakistan | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Pakistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.1 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.075 | 0.1 | 0.105 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-P | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Poland | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Poland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.285 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-MEX | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Mexico | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Mexico after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.25 | 0.275 | 0.27 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 0.265 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-IR | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Ireland | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Ireland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.495 | 0.495 | 0.495 | 0.39 | 0.495 | 0.35 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-I | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Italy | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Italy after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,745,716,735 | 2025-04-26T18:18:55 | 112.72147 | 1,745,716,735 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.39 | 0.595 | 0.545 | 0.7 | false | false | yes | 1.0 | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-DEN | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Denmark | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Denmark after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.15 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.32 | 0.195 | 0.23 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-AUS | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Australia | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Australia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.21 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.235 | 0.21 | 0.215 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-A | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Argentina | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Argentina after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.765 | 0.75 | 0.63 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-V | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Vietnam | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Vietnam after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.2 | 0.195 | 0.195 | 0.2 | 0.225 | 0.225 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
kalshi | KXPRESVISIT-26-T | What countries will Trump visit in the first year? - Turkey | binary | null | https://kalshi.com/markets/KXPRESVISIT | If President Trump visits Turkey after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Layovers are not included. | null | null | null | 1,735,977,600 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 1,767,279,600 | 2026-01-01T07:00:00 | 362.291667 | null | 0.205 | 0.2 | 0.205 | 0.205 | 0.21 | 0.22 | false | false | null | null | null | null |
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio
YAML Metadata Warning:The task_categories "forecasting" is not in the official list: text-classification, token-classification, table-question-answering, question-answering, zero-shot-classification, translation, summarization, feature-extraction, text-generation, fill-mask, sentence-similarity, text-to-speech, text-to-audio, automatic-speech-recognition, audio-to-audio, audio-classification, audio-text-to-text, voice-activity-detection, depth-estimation, image-classification, object-detection, image-segmentation, text-to-image, image-to-text, image-to-image, image-to-video, unconditional-image-generation, video-classification, reinforcement-learning, robotics, tabular-classification, tabular-regression, tabular-to-text, table-to-text, multiple-choice, text-ranking, text-retrieval, time-series-forecasting, text-to-video, image-text-to-text, image-text-to-image, image-text-to-video, visual-question-answering, document-question-answering, zero-shot-image-classification, graph-ml, mask-generation, zero-shot-object-detection, text-to-3d, image-to-3d, image-feature-extraction, video-text-to-text, keypoint-detection, visual-document-retrieval, any-to-any, video-to-video, other
Forecast Snapshot Dataset
Source: kalshi_events Data Hash: 768472771c
Dataset Description
This dataset contains snapshots of prediction market data for AI agent evaluation.
Format
Each row represents a market snapshot at a specific point in time, including:
- Current community prediction
- Predictions 1 day, 3 days, 1 week, 2 weeks, 1 month later (or resolution)
- Final resolution (ground truth)
- Market metadata (question, close time, etc.)
Question Types
binary: Yes/No questions (scalar predictions)multiple_choice: Categorical options (array of probabilities for all options)numeric/discrete/date: Continuous predictions with percentiles
Note: In the Parquet file, arrays are stored as JSON strings. In the CSV file, arrays are stored as Python list representations.
Usage
import pandas as pd
# Load dataset (CSV or Parquet)
df = pd.read_csv("hf://datasets/chestnutforty/forecast-snapshots-kalshi_events-768472771c/snapshot_dataset.csv")
# or
df = pd.read_parquet("hf://datasets/chestnutforty/forecast-snapshots-kalshi_events-768472771c/snapshot_dataset.parquet")
# Filter to specific snapshot date
snapshot_date = "2025-01-01T00:00:00"
markets = df[df['snapshot_datetime'] == snapshot_date]
# Evaluate model predictions
# df['model_pred_now'] = your_model.predict(markets)
Configuration
See config.json for dataset creation parameters.
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