Datasets:

electricsheepafrica
/

nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends

year int64 2.02k 2.02k	total_access_pct float64 55.4 61.2	rural_access_pct float64 24.6 32.9	urban_access_pct float64 81.7 89.2	population_total int64 190M 216M	population_electrified int64 107M 132M	population_unelectrified int64 82.6M 89.2M
2,018	56.5	31	81.7	189,991,982	107,345,469	82,646,513
2,019	55.4	25.5	83.9	194,931,773	107,992,202	86,939,571
2,020	55.4	24.6	83.9	200,000,000	110,800,000	89,200,000
2,021	59.5	26.3	89.2	205,200,000	122,094,000	83,106,000
2,022	60.5	27	89	210,535,200	127,373,796	83,161,404
2,023	61.2	32.9	85	216,009,115	132,197,578	83,811,537

⚠️ Synthetic dataset — Parameterized from published SSA literature, not real observations. Not suitable for empirical analysis or policy inference.

National Electricity Access Trends

Dataset Description

Annual electricity access rates for Nigeria from 2018-2023, including total, rural, and urban access percentages with population estimates.

Rows: 6
Columns: 7
Period: 2018-2023 (where applicable)
License: MIT

Data Quality

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Official World Bank data

Methodology

Data Generation Process

This dataset is part of a geospatial electrification analysis project that addresses the lack of state-level electricity access data in Nigeria.

Challenge: World Bank provides only national-level access rates. No state-by-state breakdown exists.

Solution: Geospatial disaggregation model using weighted proxy indicators:

State_Access = National_Rate × Adjustment_Factor

Adjustment_Factor = (
    35% × Night-time Lights Index +
    25% × Grid Proximity Index +
    20% × Urban Population Share +
    15% × DISCO Performance Index +
    5% × Historical Baseline
)

Validation:

State averages match national figures (< 0.1% difference)
Adjustment factors normalized (mean = 1.0)
Realistic bounds applied (10-98% access range)
Urban > Rural access (consistent with known patterns)

Data Sources

World Bank API: National electricity access rates (2018-2023)
GADM: Administrative boundaries (37 states, 775 LGAs)
Proxy indicators: Urbanization rates, DISCO coverage, infrastructure patterns
Public reports: NERC quarterly reports, REA project data

Data Dictionary

Column	Type	Description	Example
`year`	int64	Year	2018
`total_access_pct`	float64	Total Access Pct	56.5
`rural_access_pct`	float64	Rural Access Pct	31.0
`urban_access_pct`	float64	Urban Access Pct	81.7
`population_total`	int64	Population Total	189991982
`population_electrified`	int64	Population Electrified	107345469
`population_unelectrified`	int64	Population Unelectrified	82646513

Usage

Load with Hugging Face Datasets

from datasets import load_dataset

dataset = load_dataset("electricsheepafrica/nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends")
df = dataset['train'].to_pandas()

Load with Pandas

import pandas as pd

# From Parquet (recommended)
df = pd.read_parquet("hf://datasets/electricsheepafrica/nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends/nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends.parquet")

# From CSV
df = pd.read_csv("hf://datasets/electricsheepafrica/nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends/nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends.csv")

Sample Data

 year  total_access_pct  rural_access_pct  urban_access_pct  population_total  population_electrified  population_unelectrified
 2018              56.5              31.0              81.7         189991982               107345469                  82646513
 2019              55.4              25.5              83.9         194931773               107992202                  86939571
 2020              55.4              24.6              83.9         200000000               110800000                  89200000

Use Cases

Policy research: Identify underserved areas for electrification programs
Investment analysis: Assess market opportunities for off-grid solutions
Academic research: Study determinants of electricity access
Methodology validation: Compare geospatial disaggregation approaches
SDG 7 tracking: Monitor progress toward universal energy access

Limitations

Time period: Limited to 2018-2023
Granularity: No settlement-level data (requires GRID3 integration)
Validation: Limited by availability of ground-truth data
Simplifications: Actual electrification patterns are more complex

Citation

@dataset{nigerian_electricity_access_2025,
  title = {Nigerian Electricity Access: National Electricity Access Trends},
  author = {Electric Sheep Africa},
  year = {2025},
  publisher = {Hugging Face},
  note = {Geospatial disaggregation using proxy indicators},
  url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/electricsheepafrica/nigerian_electricity_national_access_trends}
}