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Datasets:
manja316
/
polymarket-historical-prices

Tasks:
Time Series Forecasting
Tabular Regression
Languages:
English
Size:
1M<n<10M
Tags:
polymarket
prediction-markets
trading
finance
time-series
orderbook
License:
Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
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The dataset generation failed because of a cast error
Error code:   DatasetGenerationCastError
Exception:    DatasetGenerationCastError
Message:      An error occurred while generating the dataset

All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 3 new columns ({'timestamp', 'price', 'outcome'}) and 15 missing columns ({'best_bid', 'outcomes', 'created_date', 'active', 'liquidity', 'end_date', 'one_day_change', 'question', 'volume_24h', 'category', 'best_ask', 'spread', 'last_trade_price', 'volume', 'outcome_prices'}).

This happened while the csv dataset builder was generating data using

hf://datasets/manja316/polymarket-historical-prices/prices_sample.csv (at revision b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55), [/tmp/hf-datasets-cache/medium/datasets/97947357335423-config-parquet-and-info-manja316-polymarket-histo-a7263997/hub/datasets--manja316--polymarket-historical-prices/snapshots/b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/markets.csv (origin=hf://datasets/manja316/polymarket-historical-prices@b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/markets.csv), /tmp/hf-datasets-cache/medium/datasets/97947357335423-config-parquet-and-info-manja316-polymarket-histo-a7263997/hub/datasets--manja316--polymarket-historical-prices/snapshots/b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/prices_sample.csv (origin=hf://datasets/manja316/polymarket-historical-prices@b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/prices_sample.csv)]

Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)
Traceback:    Traceback (most recent call last):
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1893, in _prepare_split_single
                  writer.write_table(table)
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/arrow_writer.py", line 765, in write_table
                  self._write_table(pa_table, writer_batch_size=writer_batch_size)
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/arrow_writer.py", line 773, in _write_table
                  pa_table = table_cast(pa_table, self._schema)
                             ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2281, in table_cast
                  return cast_table_to_schema(table, schema)
                         ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2227, in cast_table_to_schema
                  raise CastError(
              datasets.table.CastError: Couldn't cast
              market_id: int64
              outcome: string
              price: double
              timestamp: string
              -- schema metadata --
              pandas: '{"index_columns": [{"kind": "range", "name": null, "start": 0, "' + 721
              to
              {'market_id': Value('int64'), 'question': Value('string'), 'category': Value('string'), 'volume': Value('float64'), 'volume_24h': Value('float64'), 'liquidity': Value('float64'), 'end_date': Value('string'), 'created_date': Value('string'), 'outcomes': Value('string'), 'outcome_prices': Value('string'), 'best_bid': Value('float64'), 'best_ask': Value('float64'), 'spread': Value('float64'), 'last_trade_price': Value('float64'), 'one_day_change': Value('float64'), 'active': Value('int64')}
              because column names don't match
              
              During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
              
              Traceback (most recent call last):
                File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 1347, in compute_config_parquet_and_info_response
                  parquet_operations = convert_to_parquet(builder)
                                       ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 980, in convert_to_parquet
                  builder.download_and_prepare(
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 884, in download_and_prepare
                  self._download_and_prepare(
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 947, in _download_and_prepare
                  self._prepare_split(split_generator, **prepare_split_kwargs)
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1739, in _prepare_split
                  for job_id, done, content in self._prepare_split_single(
                                               ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1895, in _prepare_split_single
                  raise DatasetGenerationCastError.from_cast_error(
              datasets.exceptions.DatasetGenerationCastError: An error occurred while generating the dataset
              
              All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 3 new columns ({'timestamp', 'price', 'outcome'}) and 15 missing columns ({'best_bid', 'outcomes', 'created_date', 'active', 'liquidity', 'end_date', 'one_day_change', 'question', 'volume_24h', 'category', 'best_ask', 'spread', 'last_trade_price', 'volume', 'outcome_prices'}).
              
              This happened while the csv dataset builder was generating data using
              
              hf://datasets/manja316/polymarket-historical-prices/prices_sample.csv (at revision b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55), [/tmp/hf-datasets-cache/medium/datasets/97947357335423-config-parquet-and-info-manja316-polymarket-histo-a7263997/hub/datasets--manja316--polymarket-historical-prices/snapshots/b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/markets.csv (origin=hf://datasets/manja316/polymarket-historical-prices@b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/markets.csv), /tmp/hf-datasets-cache/medium/datasets/97947357335423-config-parquet-and-info-manja316-polymarket-histo-a7263997/hub/datasets--manja316--polymarket-historical-prices/snapshots/b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/prices_sample.csv (origin=hf://datasets/manja316/polymarket-historical-prices@b33073a5295d04cd8ed0c4ba939f9b6735393f55/prices_sample.csv)]
              
              Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)

Need help to make the dataset viewer work? Make sure to review how to configure the dataset viewer, and open a discussion for direct support.

market_id
int64
question
string
category
string
volume
float64
volume_24h
float64
liquidity
float64
end_date
string
created_date
string
outcomes
string
outcome_prices
string
best_bid
float64
best_ask
float64
spread
float64
last_trade_price
float64
one_day_change
float64
active
int64
1,640,919
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
geopolitics
267,590,181.603746
98,024,157.944952
6,891,334.23287
2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
2026-03-18T16:29:07.71272Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
0.003
0
1,706,788
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
politics
173,323,616.467469
21,963,681.76
20,017,534.1266
2026-04-07T00:00:00Z
2026-03-24T17:52:05.724561Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
null
0
654,412
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
economics
173,172,135.492443
10,240,669.16
7,675,566.54942
2026-03-18T00:00:00Z
2025-10-28T20:58:04.772334Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
654,415
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
economics
172,972,056.633325
13,336,234.537323
2,592,642.49824
2026-03-18T00:00:00Z
2025-10-28T20:58:06.700202Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
-0.001
0
1,484,949
Netanyahu out by March 31?
politics
104,205,864.399719
602,355.73
14,737,918.67455
2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
2026-03-02T17:17:00.792046Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
566,189
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
sports
91,279,169.588538
5,990,422.36258
1,066,432.35001
2026-05-27T00:00:00Z
2025-07-21T21:13:00.429629Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
654,413
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
economics
87,103,283.726321
10,128,981.334518
3,042,514.28713
2026-03-18T00:00:00Z
2025-10-28T20:58:05.284418Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
-0.0005
0
654,414
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
economics
85,385,584.779007
14,503,339.98758
6,261,891.69991
2026-03-18T00:00:00Z
2025-10-28T20:58:06.095309Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
0.006
0
677,397
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
geopolitics
74,575,946.934708
44,616,890.369838
6,648,916.33533
2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
2025-11-11T22:43:39.964118Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
-0.015
0
1,162,940
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
geopolitics
73,922,978.818562
1,408,434.03
13,752,605.41562
2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
2026-01-11T20:41:54.181361Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
958,442
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
politics
63,129,533.95105
2,246,311.00174
2,300,499.89859
2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
2025-12-17T22:42:41.084713Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
-0.001
0
703,258
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
other
57,524,510.320306
154,977.998184
1,402,332.07469
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2025-11-25T15:12:00.761996Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0385, 0.9615]
0.038
0.039
0.001
0.039
null
1
561,251
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
47,833,296.874116
736,187.394327
1,174,829.6728
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:10.305398Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
0.001
1
559,684
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
46,277,501.246805
98,238.155443
426,574.00262
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:22.130557Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0085, 0.9915]
0.008
0.009
0.001
0.008
null
1
559,687
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
45,803,931.733517
393,716.636905
353,154.02578
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:23.883364Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
0.001
1
1,466,015
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
politics
44,375,500.383628
3,024,022.779388
1,019,479.18006
null
2026-02-28T13:44:02.41834Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
559,688
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
44,167,624.152144
87,455.472527
1,107,489.60837
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:24.380612Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,679
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
41,996,915.780263
258,450.234596
2,349,902.00025
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:18.987743Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0055, 0.9945]
0.005
0.006
0.001
0.006
null
1
669,660
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
economics
40,983,031.243
5,538,385.767
7,078,110.79455
2026-04-29T00:00:00Z
2025-11-07T16:55:40.993184Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.002
-0.001
1
559,681
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
40,076,814.984757
81,053.911523
2,204,434.85291
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:20.29482Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
561,247
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
39,999,995.561003
105,839.781943
1,775,402.27927
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:08.2515Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,677
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
39,289,466.844984
90,235.896662
1,925,192.89018
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:17.804012Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,683
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
38,887,671.640153
84,154.635385
1,446,859.38528
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:21.627643Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
561,995
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
38,668,848.858452
116,957.779234
1,014,034.76252
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:15.525628Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,666
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
38,484,976.021309
98,937.519805
1,154,449.36195
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:09.711295Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,680
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
37,480,931.563058
56,664.07155
2,381,176.81193
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:19.607432Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,685
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
36,520,930.179601
67,768.940372
1,172,464.71354
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:22.639481Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
561,986
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
36,329,795.360506
92,347.473552
1,284,079.85186
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:10.023814Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
559,689
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
36,305,939.012659
61,883.340028
1,538,829.50651
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:24.901108Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
553,874
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
sports
36,149,198.392624
12,619.28
1,799,923.8376
2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
2025-06-19T18:23:36.929001Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
553,882
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
sports
36,073,821.632023
1,618,073.523441
539,949.4941
2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
2025-06-19T18:23:40.949859Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0055, 0.9945]
0.005
0.006
0.001
0.005
-0.003
1
559,690
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
35,178,099.029875
61,395.772006
2,013,207.82434
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:25.42053Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
1,994,007
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
politics
34,671,288.318484
34,023,248.104712
15,182,880.87808
2026-04-15T00:00:00Z
2026-04-15T20:21:26.47183Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
0.1045
1
559,678
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
34,650,439.702992
95,864.656458
822,545.59045
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:18.381851Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0085, 0.9915]
0.008
0.009
0.001
0.008
null
1
559,671
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
34,573,711.918713
95,010.994951
1,711,138.8735
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:13.666113Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,682
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
33,516,678.705708
45,295.275229
1,899,907.16508
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:20.881711Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
561,254
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
33,375,461.480434
218,225.814885
1,115,403.00523
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:12.12096Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
1,507,751
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
politics
33,167,268.961286
935,228.905424
948,941.42864
2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
2026-03-05T15:49:14.285097Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.01
-0.005
1
997,488
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
politics
32,622,619.352051
48,829.075349
238,979.54591
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2025-12-22T23:51:41.399388Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.077, 0.923]
0.076
0.078
0.002
0.077
-0.0075
1
566,229
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
sports
32,336,186.639487
1,524,918.481
1,378,461.47474
2026-05-30T00:00:00Z
2025-07-21T21:26:39.132006Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
-0.001
0
561,249
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
32,326,915.895968
55,387.573383
1,280,763.76256
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:09.27649Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
null
1
558,960
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
32,257,226.6587
135,039.267
3,939,360.62858
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:54:55.743901Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.002
null
1
1,105,754
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
geopolitics
31,729,122.725679
16,911.11
99,018.37973
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2026-01-04T17:12:52.298316Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
1
958,443
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
politics
31,504,271.913292
209,814.939844
598,820.2819
2026-06-30T00:00:00Z
2025-12-17T22:44:43.240223Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.065, 0.935]
0.06
0.07
0.01
0.07
null
1
561,248
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
31,312,665.867148
77,860.021881
1,499,354.27324
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:08.731937Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.007
null
1
561,993
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
31,059,103.499848
87,695.999759
964,663.00554
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:14.296042Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
561,994
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
30,608,279.163291
220,806.882598
1,074,355.51497
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:14.999535Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
561,240
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
30,228,220.957416
139,076.832603
561,323.81857
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:04.344587Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
null
1
559,670
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
30,209,243.643063
337,136.335552
1,440,531.5562
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:12.831781Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
561,829
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
politics
29,732,119.351468
194,186.547727
630,157.42086
2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
2025-07-09T22:53:51.2547Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
-0.001
0
561,999
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
29,335,056.310245
57,853.373851
1,461,105.87689
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:18.584607Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
558,978
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
29,223,387.728593
72,899.918
4,493,712.6964
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:55:06.231278Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.002
null
1
561,982
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
29,044,449.800372
79,249.025516
1,472,308.7884
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:07.96846Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
1,706,358
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
geopolitics
28,666,244.988979
2,456,288.27
8,662,657.04607
2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
2026-03-24T17:09:45.782295Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
null
0
561,242
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
28,664,165.207503
126,754.292374
948,685.89012
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:05.739113Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,676
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
28,463,820.511575
69,347.368806
2,110,411.1119
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:17.144753Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,692
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
28,402,038.813585
85,233.959601
1,709,945.95992
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:26.76247Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.007
null
1
559,664
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
27,533,925.287853
98,155.558524
900,750.90423
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:08.125174Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
566,230
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
sports
27,464,133.031351
64,742.74404
566,843.64973
2026-05-30T00:00:00Z
2025-07-21T21:26:39.619313Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.001
null
1
559,672
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
26,942,287.559444
144,369.136388
1,341,749.18819
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:14.394216Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
null
1
561,990
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
26,727,477.454431
14,140.551149
1,461,501.56699
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:12.251564Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0115, 0.9885]
0.011
0.012
0.001
0.012
null
1
561,992
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
25,586,964.16439
112,037.411807
1,524,823.95712
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:13.392205Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.008
null
1
562,003
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
25,353,673.270859
104,417.979486
1,652,870.00946
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:21.646721Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
553,878
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
sports
25,350,912.147295
2,328.13
1,152,608.54525
2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
2025-06-19T18:23:38.667491Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
1,105,752
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
geopolitics
24,839,519.856755
11,094.563
134,647.18533
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2026-01-04T17:12:50.978122Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.001
null
1
669,663
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
economics
24,618,839.85928
2,279,825.399644
1,617,843.04116
2026-04-29T00:00:00Z
2025-11-07T16:55:43.000223Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0035, 0.9965]
0.003
0.004
0.001
0.004
null
1
567,560
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
politics
24,464,109.892535
207,291.553719
794,718.29662
2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
2025-07-24T21:26:35.304744Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.005, 0.995]
0.004
0.006
0.002
0.004
0.0015
1
1,569,627
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
politics
24,246,464.467918
7,861,763.598701
445,552.09161
2026-04-15T00:00:00Z
2026-03-12T16:42:24.632357Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
0.8545
0
1,473,040
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
crypto
24,146,460.203225
7,063.05
2,514,193.49549
2026-04-01T04:00:00Z
2026-03-01T05:11:03.544603Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
559,652
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
23,959,041.643996
213,615.146207
369,635.64718
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:36:58.88434Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.2745, 0.7255]
0.274
0.275
0.001
0.275
0.003
1
703,257
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
science_tech
23,290,612.507998
62,517.503764
686,173.6305
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2025-11-25T15:10:30.228568Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.175, 0.825]
0.17
0.18
0.01
0.18
null
1
561,987
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
23,280,096.649524
101,713.049034
1,315,710.68534
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:10.530903Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0065, 0.9935]
0.006
0.007
0.001
0.006
null
1
559,667
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
23,078,176.133641
176,295.490935
1,669,273.84599
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:10.65535Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0105, 0.9895]
0.01
0.011
0.001
0.01
-0.001
1
558,964
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
23,031,944.324081
314,441.092666
3,567,309.08878
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:54:58.14101Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0025, 0.9975]
0.002
0.003
0.001
0.003
null
1
561,250
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
22,933,108.86901
56,895.755829
1,281,596.62836
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:09.780687Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
null
1
561,245
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
22,748,425.040216
314,373.741222
1,324,969.60403
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:07.253833Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0085, 0.9915]
0.008
0.009
0.001
0.008
null
1
558,957
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
22,725,707.716504
107,737.348
4,433,822.88854
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:54:53.912088Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.002
null
1
559,665
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
22,596,001.55319
209,163.649516
1,353,647.58541
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:08.92027Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
null
1
559,674
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
22,196,197.634589
110,081.138522
736,720.52066
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:15.838093Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
1,394,299
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
geopolitics
21,994,006.101997
3,295,283.246813
988,865.43289
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2026-02-18T21:05:12.870306Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9995, 0.0005]
0.999
1
0.001
0.999
0.001
0
567,561
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
politics
21,353,560.536157
313,546.436317
533,290.905
2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
2025-07-24T21:26:35.833305Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9855, 0.0145]
0.985
0.986
0.001
0.985
-0.001
1
558,972
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
21,241,923.171411
97,429.719
4,050,933.82843
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:55:02.732073Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0025, 0.9975]
0.002
0.003
0.001
0.002
null
1
561,238
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
21,054,491.08657
59,879.182598
901,355.37647
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:03.082499Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0115, 0.9885]
0.011
0.012
0.001
0.011
0.001
1
669,662
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
economics
21,038,768.46983
943,522.40736
2,091,805.27722
2026-04-29T00:00:00Z
2025-11-07T16:55:42.399266Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.9925, 0.0075]
0.992
0.993
0.001
0.993
0.002
1
553,879
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
sports
20,888,337.884781
493,159.257165
1,092,552.99128
2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
2025-06-19T18:23:39.128911Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0025, 0.9975]
0.002
0.003
0.001
0.002
null
1
669,661
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
economics
20,716,255.936235
765,694.59555
1,284,355.03219
2026-04-29T00:00:00Z
2025-11-07T16:55:41.704037Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0035, 0.9965]
0.003
0.004
0.001
0.004
-0.001
1
559,662
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
20,011,578.822448
1,131,733.028828
1,652,864.92336
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:06.826667Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0105, 0.9895]
0.01
0.011
0.001
0.01
0.001
1
566,193
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
sports
20,002,989.974157
1,474
1,062,111.11146
2026-05-27T00:00:00Z
2025-07-21T21:13:02.575545Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
1
566,146
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
sports
19,734,293.527232
1,008,062.900898
235,225.17962
2026-05-31T00:00:00Z
2025-07-21T20:58:44.853238Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.1195, 0.8805]
0.119
0.12
0.001
0.119
0.0025
1
567,621
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
geopolitics
19,597,654.250948
290,498.428958
843,825.51091
2026-12-31T00:00:00Z
2025-07-24T22:43:54.006955Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.087, 0.913]
0.086
0.088
0.002
0.087
-0.003
1
558,962
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
19,475,131.813082
103,791.67
4,818,483.5844
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:54:56.940413Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0015, 0.9985]
0.001
0.002
0.001
0.002
null
1
553,883
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
sports
19,238,616.794791
3,921.84
1,735,581.15552
2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
2025-06-19T18:23:41.388362Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
0
566,170
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
sports
19,133,904.337015
22,062.89
817,749.252
2026-05-31T00:00:00Z
2025-07-21T20:58:57.549421Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0005, 0.9995]
null
0.001
0.001
0.001
null
1
559,657
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
18,848,401.664954
309,886.303512
490,537.67034
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:02.834964Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0105, 0.9895]
0.01
0.011
0.001
0.01
-0.001
1
553,866
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
sports
18,293,273.427766
961,931.955928
268,769.14168
2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
2025-06-19T18:23:33.289121Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.1475, 0.8525]
0.147
0.148
0.001
0.148
-0.003
1
558,961
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
sports
18,260,662.331947
131,124.237612
3,622,653.78335
2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
2025-07-02T16:54:56.391365Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0035, 0.9965]
0.003
0.004
0.001
0.004
null
1
561,256
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
politics
18,027,627.137849
186,252.090949
1,370,414.87885
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-08T19:06:13.209517Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0075, 0.9925]
0.007
0.008
0.001
0.007
null
1
561,983
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
17,981,192.95195
66,609.164288
1,108,361.02803
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:08.485304Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0095, 0.9905]
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.009
null
1
559,673
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
politics
17,824,916.213743
73,219.271378
2,054,215.30537
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-03T20:37:15.042865Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0105, 0.9895]
0.01
0.011
0.001
0.01
null
1
561,988
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
politics
17,696,816.243625
173,038.746083
368,830.72556
2028-11-07T00:00:00Z
2025-07-10T16:58:11.045899Z
["Yes", "No"]
[0.0085, 0.9915]
0.008
0.009
0.001
0.008
null
1
End of preview.

Polymarket Historical Prices Dataset

9,550 markets | 8.9M data points | $11.7B total volume | 30 days of 15-min snapshots

The largest openly available Polymarket prediction market dataset.

Files

File Rows Description
markets.csv 9,550 All tracked markets with volume, liquidity, prices
prices_sample.csv 100,000 Latest 100K price snapshots (preview)

Full Dataset

This is a free sample. The full dataset includes:

  • 8,158,672 price snapshots (15-minute intervals, 30 days)
  • 792,527 orderbook depth snapshots (top 10 levels)
  • SQLite database for instant querying

Get full dataset on Gumroad ($9) →

Use Cases

  • Backtest prediction market trading strategies
  • Mean reversion research (our data shows +6.6% avg return after >20% crashes)
  • Train ML models on outcome probability time series
  • Study market maker spread dynamics

Data Source

Collected from Polymarket Gamma API + CLOB API every 15 minutes. Pipeline: LuciferForge | Directory: protodex.io
Downloads last month
27
Total file size:
7.38 MB