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value | snapshot_time int64 1.76B 1.76B | snapshot_datetime stringdate 2025-08-20 00:00:00 2025-10-07 00:00:00 | close_time int64 1.76B 1.76B | close_datetime stringdate 2025-08-21 00:31:52 2025-10-08 15:45:42 | days_until_close float64 1.02 8.7 | resolution_time int64 1.76B 1.76B | community_pred_now null | community_pred_1day null | community_pred_3day stringclasses 1
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metaculus_38596 | 38596 | What will be the value of "the market yield on US treasury securities at 3-year constant maturity, quoted on an investment basis" on 2025-08-28? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39254/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-dgs3-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series DGS3 is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the market yield on US treasury securities at 3-year constant maturity, quoted on an investment basis. The title... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series DGS3 once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,076,816 | 2025-08-24T16:06:56 | 4.671481 | 1,756,587,469 | null | null | null | null | 3.6 | 3.6 | null | true | 3.6 | 3.6 | null | 3.499 | 4.337 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38593 | 38593 | What will be the value of "the upper limit of the target range of the federal funds rate (interest rate) set by the Federal Open Market Committee" on 2025-08-27? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39251/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-dfedtaru-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series DFEDTARU is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the upper limit of the target range of the federal funds rate (interest rate) set by the Federal Open Market... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series DFEDTARU once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,959,755 | 2025-08-23T07:35:55 | 3.316609 | 1,756,587,465 | null | null | null | null | 4.5 | 4.5 | null | true | 4.5 | 4.5 | null | 4.5 | 5.5 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38592 | 38592 | What will be the value of "the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Index | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39250/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-vixcls-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series VIXCLS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index. The title of the series is "CBOE Volatility Index: VIX"... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series VIXCLS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,222,371 | 2025-08-26T08:32:51 | 6.356146 | 1,756,853,190 | null | null | null | null | 15.36 | 15.36 | null | true | 15.36 | 15.36 | null | 14.16 | 28.75 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38591 | 38591 | What will be the value of "the Federal Reserve's overnight bank funding rate" on 2025-08-26? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39249/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-obfr-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series OBFR is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Federal Reserve's overnight bank funding rate. The title of the series is "Overnight Bank Funding Rate". The... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series OBFR once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,943,299 | 2025-08-23T03:01:39 | 3.126146 | 1,756,587,465 | null | null | null | null | 4.33 | 4.33 | null | true | 4.33 | 4.33 | null | 4.33 | 5.33 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38589 | 38589 | What will be the value of "the price of Brent crude oil" on 2025-08-22? | numeric | Dollars per Barrel | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39247/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-dcoilbrenteu-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series DCOILBRENTEU is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the price of Brent crude oil. The title of the series is "Crude Oil Prices: Brent - Europe". The last da... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series DCOILBRENTEU once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,815,785 | 2025-08-21T15:36:25 | 1.650289 | 1,756,587,466 | null | null | null | null | 68.29 | 68.29 | null | true | 68.29 | 68.29 | null | 64.8635 | 80.3155 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38586 | 38586 | What will be the value of "the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US" on 2025-08-28? | numeric | Index | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39244/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-usepuindxd-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series USEPUINDXD is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US. The title of the series is "Economic Policy Uncertainty ... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series USEPUINDXD once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,008,424 | 2025-08-23T21:07:04 | 3.879907 | 1,756,587,472 | null | null | null | null | 243.9 | 243.9 | null | true | 243.9 | 243.9 | null | 66.18 | 676.42 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38585 | 38585 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread of securities with an investment grade rating of BB in the ICE BofA US High Yield Master II Index, which tracks the performance of corporate debt below investment grade in the US domestic market" on 2025-08-27? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39243/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlh0a1hybb-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLH0A1HYBB is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread of securities with an investment grade rating of BB in the ICE BofA US High Y... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLH0A1HYBB once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,236,289 | 2025-08-26T12:24:49 | 6.517234 | 1,756,587,467 | null | null | null | null | 1.74 | 1.74 | null | true | 1.74 | 1.74 | null | 1.6 | 2.542 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38584 | 38584 | What will be the value of "the effective yield of securities with a remaining term to maturity of 7-10 years in the ICE BofA US Corporate Index, which tracks the performance of corporate debt issued in the US domestic market" on 2025-08-28? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39242/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlc4a0c710yey-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLC4A0C710YEY is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the effective yield of securities with a remaining term to maturity of 7-10 years in the ICE BofA US ... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLC4A0C710YEY once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,887,162 | 2025-08-22T11:26:02 | 2.476412 | 1,756,587,465 | null | null | null | null | 5.02 | 5.02 | null | true | 5.02 | 5.02 | null | 4.839 | 5.572 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38583 | 38583 | What will be the value of "the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) set by the Federal Reserve" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39241/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-effr-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series EFFR is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) set by the Federal Reserve. The title of the series is "Effecti... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series EFFR once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,966,507 | 2025-08-23T09:28:27 | 3.394757 | 1,756,853,190 | null | null | null | null | 4.33 | 4.33 | null | true | 4.33 | 4.33 | null | 4.33 | 5.33 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38581 | 38581 | What will be the value of "the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities sold by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market operations" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Billions of US Dollars | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39239/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-rrpontsyd-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series RRPONTSYD is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities sold by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market o... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series RRPONTSYD once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,353,080 | 2025-08-27T20:51:20 | 7.868981 | 1,756,587,466 | null | null | null | null | 77.898 | 77.898 | null | true | 77.898 | 77.898 | null | 76.5762 | 378.56915 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38580 | 38580 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which tracks the performance of emerging markets non-sovereign debt within major domestic and Eurobond markets" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39238/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlemcbpioas-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLEMCBPIOAS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which tracks the per... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLEMCBPIOAS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,342,194 | 2025-08-27T17:49:54 | 7.742986 | 1,757,153,528 | null | null | null | null | null | 1.55 | null | true | 1.55 | 1.55 | null | 1.589 | 2.061 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38576 | 38576 | Will the community prediction be higher than 54.00% on 2025-08-26 for the Metaculus question 'Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39234/will-community-prediction-rise-for-executive-branch-in-contempt-for-not-obeying-the-supreme-court-by-jan-20-2029/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38192. If the community prediction on 2025-08-26 16:49:22 is higher than 54.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,947,967 | 2025-08-23T04:19:27 | 3.180174 | 1,756,587,425 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38573 | 38573 | Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39231/will-community-prediction-rise-for-thames-water-sar-pre-sep-2025/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38850. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 02:56:24 is higher than 20.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,424,448 | 2025-08-28T16:40:48 | 8.695 | 1,756,587,431 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38572 | 38572 | Will the community prediction be higher than 98.00% on 2025-08-25 for the Metaculus question 'Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39230/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-openai-surpass-15-million-business-users-before-2030/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38867. If the community prediction on 2025-08-25 10:56:40 is higher than 98.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,814,104 | 2025-08-21T15:08:24 | 1.630833 | 1,756,587,432 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38568 | 38568 | Will the community prediction be higher than 15.00% on 2025-08-24 for the Metaculus question 'Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39226/will-community-prediction-rise-for-musk-removed-as-ceo-of-tesla-before-2027/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37353. If the community prediction on 2025-08-24 23:09:39 is higher than 15.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,923,193 | 2025-08-22T21:26:33 | 2.893438 | 1,756,587,439 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38567 | 38567 | Will the community prediction be higher than 50.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39225/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-there-be-an-fec-form-1-filed-for-elon-musks-party-before-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38822. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 06:27:48 is higher than 50.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,416,921 | 2025-08-28T14:35:21 | 8.607882 | 1,756,587,439 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38563 | 38563 | Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will the US government file a denaturalization lawsuit against Elon Musk before July 1, 2026?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39221/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-donald-trump-attempt-to-deport-elon-musk-before-july-1-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38783. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 15:51:07 is higher than 5.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,845,236 | 2025-08-21T23:47:16 | 1.991157 | 1,756,587,451 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38561 | 38561 | Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-08-24 for the Metaculus question 'Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39219/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-maxwell-testify-on-the-epstein-files-or-trumpin-congress-before-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38916. If the community prediction on 2025-08-24 05:08:06 is higher than 20.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,761,512 | 2025-08-21T00:31:52 | 1.02213 | 1,756,587,452 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38560 | 38560 | Will the community prediction be higher than 1.10% on 2025-08-27 for the Metaculus question 'Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39218/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-the-united-states-conduct-a-ground-invasion-of-iran-before-2027/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38768. If the community prediction on 2025-08-27 12:08:16 is higher than 1.10%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,266,934 | 2025-08-26T20:55:34 | 6.871921 | 1,756,587,452 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38556 | 38556 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt secure a victory in their Bundesliga fixture on August 23, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39214/will-eintracht-frankfurt-secure-a-victory-in-their-bundesliga-fixture-on-august-23-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"3b755301-0fde-48ab-adf6-9c419ea7c7e7"}}` | This question concerns the Bundesliga contest featuring Eintracht Frankfurt, set to commence at 9:30AM Eastern Time on August 23, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the result achieved by Eintracht Frankfurt during the standard 90 minutes of play, including any additional stoppage time, but excluding extra t... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,951,446 | 2025-08-23T05:17:26 | 3.22044 | 1,756,587,472 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38555 | 38555 | Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39213/will-ukrainian-forces-secure-control-of-the-specified-crossroads-near-vilne-and-kucheriv-yar-by-august-22-2025-as-indicated-by-isw-mapping-or-equivalent-criteria/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"363f175f-66f7-4609-903a-b2196211c889"}}` | For this question, a positive outcome will be determined if, on or before August 22, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, either of the two designated junctions—one in Vilne and one in Kucheriv Yar—are shown as at least partially under Ukrainian control on the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) interactive map (https://storymaps.ar... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,844,948 | 2025-08-21T23:42:28 | 1.987824 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38553 | 38553 | Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave secure first place at the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz event? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39211/will-maxime-vachier-lagrave-secure-first-place-at-the-2025-saint-louis-rapid-blitz-event/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"f5419acf-af99-4e24-9d05-534b3f4a6017"}}` | Determination of this question hinges on whether Maxime Vachier-Lagrave is officially recognized as the overall winner of the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess competition. Should he be declared the champion, the answer will be "Yes"; in all other circumstances, including if another participant claims victory, the r... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,777,395 | 2025-08-21T04:56:35 | 1.205961 | 1,756,587,475 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | annulled | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38551 | 38551 | Is a monetary contribution from Drake to Team Water confirmed by August 22, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39209/is-a-monetary-contribution-from-drake-to-team-water-confirmed-by-august-22-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"42ddf47b-891d-4869-921d-d9a33d33e8cb"}}` | A determination of 'Yes' will be made if, on or before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on Friday, August 22, 2025, Drake is verified to have provided a financial donation to the Team Water initiative led by MrBeast. Verification will primarily rely on disclosures from teamwater.org, but may also incorporate direct statements fro... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,967,025 | 2025-08-23T09:37:05 | 3.400752 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | annulled | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38548 | 38548 | Will FSV Mainz 05 secure a victory in their match on August 24, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39206/will-fsv-mainz-05-secure-a-victory-in-their-match-on-august-24-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"e65edc13-62e9-4c3a-b5eb-43cf9e4c741d"}}` | This question concerns the result of the BUN fixture featuring FSV Mainz 05, set to commence at 9:30AM Eastern Time on August 24, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the score at the conclusion of the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Should FSV Mainz 05 be ahead at this point, t... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,151,807 | 2025-08-25T12:56:47 | 5.539433 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | annulled | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38544 | 38544 | Will the match between FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln on August 24 conclude with both teams having identical scores? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39202/will-the-match-between-fsv-mainz-05-and-1-fc-koln-on-august-24-conclude-with-both-teams-having-identical-scores/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"35557527-4ade-408d-b2df-253fb3f2608e"}}` | This question pertains to the Bundesliga fixture featuring FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln, set to commence at 9:30AM ET on August 24. Should the contest finish with both sides having accumulated the same number of goals at the final whistle, the answer will be 'Yes'. Any other result, where one team outscores the other, w... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,920,106 | 2025-08-22T20:35:06 | 2.857708 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38543 | 38543 | Will SC Freiburg secure a victory on August 23, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39201/will-sc-freiburg-secure-a-victory-on-august-23-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"63b05e86-bc68-42e1-b603-748c6c3a5546"}}` | This question concerns the result of the Bundesliga fixture featuring SC Freiburg, set to commence at 9:30AM Eastern Time on August 23, 2025. The determination will be based solely on the score at the conclusion of the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Should SC Freiburg be ahead at this p... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,854,111 | 2025-08-22T02:15:11 | 2.093877 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38542 | 38542 | Is a monetary contribution from Kai Cenat to Team Water recorded by August 22, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39200/is-a-monetary-contribution-from-kai-cenat-to-team-water-recorded-by-august-22-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"b44536fa-bec7-4e47-acbf-d4639d1fd955"}}` | A determination will be made based on whether Kai Cenat (see: https://www.youtube.com/c/KaiCenat) is documented as having provided a financial donation to the Team Water initiative, which is associated with MrBeast, on or before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on Friday, August 22, 2025. Verification will primarily rely on the o... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,939,136 | 2025-08-23T01:52:16 | 3.077963 | 1,756,587,474 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38541 | 38541 | Is parity the final result in the August 23rd contest between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39199/is-parity-the-final-result-in-the-august-23rd-contest-between-eintracht-frankfurt-and-werder-bremen/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"3a6c8074-b350-4e8c-9788-a9cefad1c26e"}}` | This question pertains to the Bundesliga fixture featuring Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen, set to commence at 9:30AM ET on August 23. Should the match conclude with both teams having identical scores at the end of regulation, the answer will be 'Yes'. Any other outcome, where one side finishes with a higher tall... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,905,855 | 2025-08-22T16:37:35 | 2.692766 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38540 | 38540 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39198/will-goma-be-under-the-control-of-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-on-august-25-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"24ec0e88-0bcb-4a7b-aabf-3bc671c5ec90"}}` | Resolution criteria: This question will resolve as **Yes** if credible sources report that the March 23 Movement rebels have withdrawn from Goma and the Democratic Republic of the Congo is in control of the city on August 25, 2025.
Fineprint: If there is any ambiguity, this question will resolve based upon control of G... | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,890,395 | 2025-08-22T12:19:55 | 2.513831 | 1,757,153,529 | null | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | null | true | annulled | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38533 | 38533 | Will CI's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-27? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39191/cis-close-price-rises/ | The Cigna Group is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI
The Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, prov... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-27, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,294,281 | 2025-08-27T04:31:21 | 7.188438 | 1,756,587,455 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38525 | 38525 | Will LHX's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-26? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39183/lhxs-close-price-rises/ | L3Harris Technologies, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is LHX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:06) is 270.55. You can find more information about L3Harris Technologies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LHX
L3Harris Technologies, Inc.... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of LHX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-26, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,169,652 | 2025-08-25T17:54:12 | 5.745972 | 1,756,587,458 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38524 | 38524 | Will IPG's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-23? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39182/ipgs-close-price-rises/ | The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is IPG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:05) is 26.09. You can find more information about The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IPG
Th... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of IPG. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-23, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,755,926,044 | 2025-08-22T22:14:04 | 2.926435 | 1,756,587,458 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38520 | 38520 | Will STLD's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-25? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39178/stlds-close-price-rises/ | Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is STLD. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:28:58) is 126.42. You can find more information about Steel Dynamics, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc., together with its... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of STLD. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-25, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,673,200 | 2025-08-20T00:00:00 | 1,756,113,859 | 2025-08-25T02:24:19 | 5.10022 | 1,756,587,460 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38596 | 38596 | What will be the value of "the market yield on US treasury securities at 3-year constant maturity, quoted on an investment basis" on 2025-08-28? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39254/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-dgs3-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series DGS3 is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the market yield on US treasury securities at 3-year constant maturity, quoted on an investment basis. The title... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series DGS3 once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,076,816 | 2025-08-24T16:06:56 | 1.671481 | 1,756,587,469 | null | null | null | null | 3.6 | 3.6 | null | true | 3.6 | 3.6 | null | 3.499 | 4.337 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38592 | 38592 | What will be the value of "the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Index | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39250/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-vixcls-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series VIXCLS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index. The title of the series is "CBOE Volatility Index: VIX"... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series VIXCLS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,222,371 | 2025-08-26T08:32:51 | 3.356146 | 1,756,853,190 | null | null | null | null | 15.36 | 15.36 | null | true | 15.36 | 15.36 | null | 14.16 | 28.75 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38585 | 38585 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread of securities with an investment grade rating of BB in the ICE BofA US High Yield Master II Index, which tracks the performance of corporate debt below investment grade in the US domestic market" on 2025-08-27? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39243/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlh0a1hybb-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLH0A1HYBB is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread of securities with an investment grade rating of BB in the ICE BofA US High Y... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLH0A1HYBB once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,236,289 | 2025-08-26T12:24:49 | 3.517234 | 1,756,587,467 | null | null | null | null | 1.74 | 1.74 | null | true | 1.74 | 1.74 | null | 1.6 | 2.542 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38581 | 38581 | What will be the value of "the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities sold by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market operations" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Billions of US Dollars | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39239/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-rrpontsyd-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series RRPONTSYD is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities sold by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market o... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series RRPONTSYD once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,353,080 | 2025-08-27T20:51:20 | 4.868981 | 1,756,587,466 | null | null | null | null | 77.898 | 77.898 | null | true | 77.898 | 77.898 | null | 76.5762 | 378.56915 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38580 | 38580 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which tracks the performance of emerging markets non-sovereign debt within major domestic and Eurobond markets" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39238/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlemcbpioas-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLEMCBPIOAS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which tracks the per... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLEMCBPIOAS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,342,194 | 2025-08-27T17:49:54 | 4.742986 | 1,757,153,528 | null | null | null | null | null | 1.55 | null | true | 1.55 | 1.55 | null | 1.589 | 2.061 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38573 | 38573 | Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39231/will-community-prediction-rise-for-thames-water-sar-pre-sep-2025/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38850. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 02:56:24 is higher than 20.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,424,448 | 2025-08-28T16:40:48 | 5.695 | 1,756,587,431 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38567 | 38567 | Will the community prediction be higher than 50.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39225/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-there-be-an-fec-form-1-filed-for-elon-musks-party-before-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38822. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 06:27:48 is higher than 50.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,416,921 | 2025-08-28T14:35:21 | 5.607882 | 1,756,587,439 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38560 | 38560 | Will the community prediction be higher than 1.10% on 2025-08-27 for the Metaculus question 'Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39218/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-the-united-states-conduct-a-ground-invasion-of-iran-before-2027/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38768. If the community prediction on 2025-08-27 12:08:16 is higher than 1.10%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,266,934 | 2025-08-26T20:55:34 | 3.871921 | 1,756,587,452 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38548 | 38548 | Will FSV Mainz 05 secure a victory in their match on August 24, 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39206/will-fsv-mainz-05-secure-a-victory-in-their-match-on-august-24-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"e65edc13-62e9-4c3a-b5eb-43cf9e4c741d"}}` | This question concerns the result of the BUN fixture featuring FSV Mainz 05, set to commence at 9:30AM Eastern Time on August 24, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the score at the conclusion of the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Should FSV Mainz 05 be ahead at this point, t... | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,151,807 | 2025-08-25T12:56:47 | 2.539433 | 1,756,587,473 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | annulled | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38533 | 38533 | Will CI's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-27? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39191/cis-close-price-rises/ | The Cigna Group is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI
The Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, prov... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-27, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,294,281 | 2025-08-27T04:31:21 | 4.188438 | 1,756,587,455 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38525 | 38525 | Will LHX's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-26? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39183/lhxs-close-price-rises/ | L3Harris Technologies, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is LHX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:06) is 270.55. You can find more information about L3Harris Technologies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LHX
L3Harris Technologies, Inc.... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of LHX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-26, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,169,652 | 2025-08-25T17:54:12 | 2.745972 | 1,756,587,458 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38520 | 38520 | Will STLD's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-25? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39178/stlds-close-price-rises/ | Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is STLD. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:28:58) is 126.42. You can find more information about Steel Dynamics, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc., together with its... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of STLD. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-25, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,755,932,400 | 2025-08-23T00:00:00 | 1,756,113,859 | 2025-08-25T02:24:19 | 2.10022 | 1,756,587,460 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38581 | 38581 | What will be the value of "the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities sold by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market operations" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Billions of US Dollars | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39239/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-rrpontsyd-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series RRPONTSYD is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities sold by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market o... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series RRPONTSYD once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,191,600 | 2025-08-26T00:00:00 | 1,756,353,080 | 2025-08-27T20:51:20 | 1.868981 | 1,756,587,466 | null | null | null | 77.898 | 77.898 | 77.898 | true | true | 77.898 | 77.898 | null | 76.5762 | 378.56915 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38580 | 38580 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which tracks the performance of emerging markets non-sovereign debt within major domestic and Eurobond markets" on 2025-08-29? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39238/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlemcbpioas-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLEMCBPIOAS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which tracks the per... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLEMCBPIOAS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,191,600 | 2025-08-26T00:00:00 | 1,756,342,194 | 2025-08-27T17:49:54 | 1.742986 | 1,757,153,528 | null | null | null | null | 1.55 | 1.55 | null | true | 1.55 | 1.55 | null | 1.589 | 2.061 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_38573 | 38573 | Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39231/will-community-prediction-rise-for-thames-water-sar-pre-sep-2025/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38850. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 02:56:24 is higher than 20.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,191,600 | 2025-08-26T00:00:00 | 1,756,424,448 | 2025-08-28T16:40:48 | 2.695 | 1,756,587,431 | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | true | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38567 | 38567 | Will the community prediction be higher than 50.00% on 2025-08-29 for the Metaculus question 'Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?'? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39225/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-there-be-an-fec-form-1-filed-for-elon-musks-party-before-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38822. If the community prediction on 2025-08-29 06:27:48 is higher than 50.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,191,600 | 2025-08-26T00:00:00 | 1,756,416,921 | 2025-08-28T14:35:21 | 2.607882 | 1,756,587,439 | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | true | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_38533 | 38533 | Will CI's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-27? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39191/cis-close-price-rises/ | The Cigna Group is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI
The Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, prov... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-27, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,191,600 | 2025-08-26T00:00:00 | 1,756,294,281 | 2025-08-27T04:31:21 | 1.188438 | 1,756,587,455 | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | true | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39073 | 39073 | Will the interest in "nano banana" be greater on 2025-09-08 than on 2025-09-02 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39696/will-google-trend-topic-nano-banana-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | This question resolves "Yes" if, on the Google Trends "interest over time chart [here](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=nano%20banana&date=2025-08-09%202025-09-08), the day-aggregated value for 2025-09-08 is greater than the value for 2025-09-02. Otherwise, it resolves to "No". The chart must be v... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,831,580 | 2025-09-02T09:46:20 | 1.407176 | 1,757,375,999 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39071 | 39071 | Will the interest in "directv" be greater on 2025-09-09 than on 2025-09-02 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39694/will-google-trend-topic-directv-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | This question resolves "Yes" if, on the Google Trends "interest over time chart [here](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=directv&date=2025-08-10%202025-09-09), the day-aggregated value for 2025-09-09 is greater than the value for 2025-09-02. Otherwise, it resolves to "No". The chart must be viewed ... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,806,476 | 2025-09-02T02:47:56 | 1.11662 | 1,757,462,399 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39070 | 39070 | Will the interest in "apple iphone 17 pro release date" be greater on 2025-09-11 than on 2025-09-04 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39693/will-google-trend-topic-apple-iphone-17-pro-release-date-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | This question resolves "Yes" if, on the Google Trends "interest over time chart [here](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=apple%20iphone%2017%20pro%20release%20date&date=2025-08-12%202025-09-11), the day-aggregated value for 2025-09-11 is greater than the value for 2025-09-04. Otherwise, it resolves... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,950,008 | 2025-09-03T18:40:08 | 2.77787 | 1,757,635,199 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39069 | 39069 | Will the interest in "taiwan" be greater on 2025-09-10 than on 2025-09-03 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39692/will-google-trend-topic-taiwan-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | This question resolves "Yes" if, on the Google Trends "interest over time chart [here](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=taiwan&date=2025-08-11%202025-09-10), the day-aggregated value for 2025-09-10 is greater than the value for 2025-09-03. Otherwise, it resolves to "No". The chart must be viewed w... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,900,025 | 2025-09-03T04:47:05 | 2.199363 | 1,757,548,799 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39068 | 39068 | Will the interest in "bank" be greater on 2025-09-11 than on 2025-09-03 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39691/will-google-trend-topic-bank-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | This question resolves "Yes" if, on the Google Trends "interest over time chart [here](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=bank&date=2025-08-12%202025-09-11), the day-aggregated value for 2025-09-11 is greater than the value for 2025-09-03. Otherwise, it resolves to "No". The chart must be viewed wit... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,929,723 | 2025-09-03T13:02:03 | 2.54309 | 1,757,635,199 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39065 | 39065 | Will the Progress Party secure the runner-up position in seat count in Norway's 167th parliamentary election? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39688/will-the-progress-party-secure-the-runner-up-position-in-seat-count-in-norways-167th-parliamentary-election/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"aa9167ba-be59-4580-9410-adbc5b02d956"}}` | The determination for this question centers on which political group attains the second-highest total of seats in the 167th session of Norway’s Storting, following the parliamentary election scheduled for September 8, 2025. Should the election for the 167th Storting not be conducted by February 28, 2026, the answer wil... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,820,382 | 2025-09-02T06:39:42 | 1.277569 | 1,757,434,234 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39062 | 39062 | Will Norway’s center-right alliance secure a seat count in the range of 84 to 86 in the 2025 parliamentary contest? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39685/will-norways-center-right-alliance-secure-a-seat-count-in-the-range-of-84-to-86-in-the-2025-parliamentary-contest/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"bd1de2fa-99e2-4777-98b2-43e6fed7b361"}}` | Seat allocation for the following Norwegian political groups—Høyre (H), Fremskrittspartiet (FrP), Venstre (V), and Kristelig Folkeparti (KrF)—will be the sole determinant for this question. The upcoming national legislative election in Norway is set for September 8, 2025. The outcome hinges on whether the combined tota... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,974,392 | 2025-09-04T01:26:32 | 3.060093 | 1,757,448,634 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39061 | 39061 | Will the seasonally adjusted CPI-U for August 2025 show a monthly rise of at least 0.4%? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39684/will-the-seasonally-adjusted-cpi-u-for-august-2025-show-a-monthly-rise-of-at-least-04/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"ae22d3ff-1375-4310-9708-eb7e1a4efef7"}}` | To determine the outcome of this question, reference will be made to the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), as seasonally adjusted and published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The focus is on the percentage change from the previous month, specifically for August 2025, ... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,045,700 | 2025-09-04T21:15:00 | 3.885417 | 1,757,693,438 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39058 | 39058 | Is Carlos Alcaraz the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Champion? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39681/is-carlos-alcaraz-the-2025-us-open-mens-singles-champion/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"bdb92f3f-b882-440c-9784-41b4160e07c3"}}` | Determination hinges on whether Carlos Alcaraz secures the title in the Men’s Singles competition at the 2025 US Open. A positive outcome is recorded exclusively if he emerges as the official winner of this event. Should any circumstance arise—such as elimination, withdrawal, or disqualification—that renders him inelig... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,883,233 | 2025-09-03T00:07:13 | 2.005012 | 1,757,333,439 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39057 | 39057 | Will the Consumer Price Index reflect a 2.9% annual rise for the period ending August 2025? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39680/will-the-consumer-price-index-reflect-a-29-annual-rise-for-the-period-ending-august-2025/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"99a2bfa6-133e-40ed-8698-0ee7c7882e6c"}}` | To determine the outcome of this question, reference will be made to the official Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for the twelve months concluding in August 2025. The relevant data, which excludes seasonal adjustments, will be sourced from the BLS’s monthly CPI news ... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,014,161 | 2025-09-04T12:29:21 | 3.520382 | 1,757,693,438 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39055 | 39055 | Will the August 2025 seasonally adjusted CPI-U monthly percentage change be 0.3%? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39678/will-the-august-2025-seasonally-adjusted-cpi-u-monthly-percentage-change-be-03/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"051aedfd-7748-4dda-9c92-c3669889450a"}}` | This question concerns the percentage shift over a single month in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The determination will be based on the value for the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted CPI-U for August ... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,051,634 | 2025-09-04T22:53:54 | 3.954097 | 1,757,650,446 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39054 | 39054 | Is Aryna Sabalenka the champion of the 2025 US Open Women's Singles event? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39677/is-aryna-sabalenka-the-champion-of-the-2025-us-open-womens-singles-event/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"1d1bcc3e-6bc4-4990-b9ed-30e12fdf1658"}}` | Determination hinges on whether Aryna Sabalenka secures first place in the Women's Singles competition at the 2025 US Open. A positive outcome is recorded exclusively if she is officially recognized as the winner of this tournament, as confirmed by the event's governing body (see: https://www.usopen.org). Should she be... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,839,581 | 2025-09-02T11:59:41 | 1.49978 | 1,757,304,626 | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | true | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39053 | 39053 | Is Alexander Zverev the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles champion? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39676/is-alexander-zverev-the-2025-us-open-mens-singles-champion/ | This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.
`{"format":"ig_question_sync","info":{"event_id":"bb6e0523-0806-4151-b527-fcedec172a47"}}` | Determination hinges on whether Alexander Zverev secures the title in the Men’s Singles competition at the 2025 US Open. A positive outcome is recorded only if he is officially recognized as the winner of this specific event. Should he be eliminated, withdraw, or otherwise become ineligible to claim the championship un... | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,880,187 | 2025-09-02T23:16:27 | 1.969757 | 1,756,940,100 | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | true | true | annulled | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39052 | 39052 | Will the community prediction be higher than 50.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39675/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-france-call-another-election-by-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/26114. If the community prediction on 2025-09-11 20:49:42 is higher than 50.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,901,994 | 2025-09-03T05:19:54 | 2.222153 | 1,757,623,782 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39051 | 39051 | Will the community prediction be higher than 21.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39674/will-community-prediction-rise-for-jd-vance-potus-before-january-20-2029/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/26336. If the community prediction on 2025-09-11 07:38:53 is higher than 21.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,899,869 | 2025-09-03T04:44:29 | 2.197558 | 1,757,576,333 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39050 | 39050 | Will the community prediction be higher than 75.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39673/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-boeings-stock-price-exceed-210-on-december-31-2025/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36022. If the community prediction on 2025-09-10 17:55:04 is higher than 75.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,871,462 | 2025-09-02T20:51:02 | 1.868773 | 1,757,526,904 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39049 | 39049 | Will the community prediction be higher than 28.90% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will Derrick Rose make the Hall of Fame?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39672/will-community-prediction-rise-for-derrick-rose-hall-of-fame-by-2040/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19397. If the community prediction on 2025-09-11 20:33:32 is higher than 28.90%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,104,265 | 2025-09-05T13:31:05 | 4.563252 | 1,757,622,812 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39048 | 39048 | Will the community prediction be higher than 45.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39671/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-openai-deepmind-or-anthropic-have-revenue-of-at-least-100b-in-2027/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38405. If the community prediction on 2025-09-11 01:14:38 is higher than 45.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,016,301 | 2025-09-04T13:05:01 | 3.54515 | 1,757,553,278 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39047 | 39047 | Will the community prediction be higher than 52.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Before 2029, will a new international organization focused on AI safety be established with participation from at least three G7 countries?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39670/will-community-prediction-rise-for-before-2029-will-a-new-ai-safety-org-form-with-3-g7-members/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39163. If the community prediction on 2025-09-11 01:20:56 is higher than 52.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,921,511 | 2025-09-03T10:45:11 | 2.448044 | 1,757,553,656 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39046 | 39046 | Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39669/will-community-prediction-rise-for-will-north-korea-conduct-a-nuclear-test-before-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39006. If the community prediction on 2025-09-10 18:38:29 is higher than 6.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,013,007 | 2025-09-04T12:10:07 | 3.507025 | 1,757,529,509 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39045 | 39045 | Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39668/will-community-prediction-rise-for-chinese-model-chinese-chips/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20466. If the community prediction on 2025-09-12 02:32:50 is higher than 85.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,108,859 | 2025-09-05T14:47:39 | 4.616424 | 1,757,644,370 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39044 | 39044 | Will the community prediction be higher than 25.00% on 2025-09-09 for the Metaculus question "Before 2030, will traditional banks offer regulated DeFi yield products, with consumer protections?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39667/will-community-prediction-rise-for-by-2030-will-banks-offer-10b-regulated-defi-yields-with-protections/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39171. If the community prediction on 2025-09-09 21:40:10 is higher than 25.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,877,023 | 2025-09-02T22:23:43 | 1.933137 | 1,757,454,010 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39042 | 39042 | Will the community prediction be higher than 87.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39665/will-community-prediction-rise-for-new-fomc-member-is-appointed-before-any-term-is-up-and-before-jan-20-2029/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36329. If the community prediction on 2025-09-10 16:15:11 is higher than 87.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,911,414 | 2025-09-03T07:56:54 | 2.331181 | 1,757,520,911 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39039 | 39039 | Will CBRE's market close price on 2025-09-09 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-02? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39662/cbres-close-price-rises/ | CBRE Group, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CBRE. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:21) is 162.12. You can find more information about CBRE Group, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CBRE
CBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real ... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CBRE. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-02, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,855,563 | 2025-09-02T16:26:03 | 1.684757 | 1,757,424,290 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39038 | 39038 | Will PODD's market close price on 2025-09-10 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-03? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39661/podds-close-price-rises/ | Insulet Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is PODD. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:20) is 339.88. You can find more information about Insulet Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PODD
Insulet Corporation develops, manufacture... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of PODD. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-03, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,940,310 | 2025-09-03T15:58:30 | 2.665625 | 1,757,470,574 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39036 | 39036 | Will UDR's market close price on 2025-09-12 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-05? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39659/udrs-close-price-rises/ | UDR, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is UDR. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:17) is 39.57. You can find more information about UDR, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UDR
UDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), an S&P 500 company, is a leading multifam... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of UDR. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-05, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,088,409 | 2025-09-05T09:06:49 | 4.379734 | 1,757,648,498 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39035 | 39035 | Will J's market close price on 2025-09-11 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-02? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39658/js-close-price-rises/ | Jacobs Solutions Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is J. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:14) is 146.23. You can find more information about Jacobs Solutions Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. engages in the infras... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of J. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-02, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,817,339 | 2025-09-02T05:48:59 | 1.24235 | 1,757,568,770 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39033 | 39033 | Will GPC's market close price on 2025-09-09 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-03? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39656/gpcs-close-price-rises/ | Genuine Parts Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is GPC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:07) is 139.33. You can find more information about Genuine Parts Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GPC
Genuine Parts Company distributes autom... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of GPC. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-03, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,859,376 | 2025-09-02T17:29:36 | 1.728889 | 1,757,411,667 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39032 | 39032 | Will WM's market close price on 2025-09-12 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-05? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39655/wms-close-price-rises/ | Waste Management, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is WM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:06) is 226.39. You can find more information about Waste Management, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WM
Waste Management, Inc., through its sub... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of WM. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-05, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,095,225 | 2025-09-05T11:00:25 | 4.458623 | 1,757,648,492 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39027 | 39027 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread of the ICE BofA Euro High Yield Index" on 2025-09-09? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39650/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlhe00ehyioas-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLHE00EHYIOAS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread of the ICE BofA Euro High Yield Index, which tracks the performance of bel... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLHE00EHYIOAS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,866,094 | 2025-09-02T19:21:34 | 1.806644 | 1,757,376,000 | null | null | null | null | 2.89 | 2.89 | null | true | 2.89 | 2.89 | null | 2 | 4.0744 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39026 | 39026 | What will be the value of "the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index" on 2025-09-09? | numeric | Index | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39649/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-vixcls-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series VIXCLS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index. The title of the series is "CBOE Volatility Index: VIX"... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series VIXCLS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,907,309 | 2025-09-03T06:48:29 | 2.283669 | 1,757,376,000 | null | null | null | null | 15.04 | 15.04 | null | true | 15.04 | 15.04 | null | 10 | 42.7855 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39024 | 39024 | What will be the value of "the euro short-term rate (volume-weighted trimmed mean), a measure of the borrowing costs of banks in the euro area" on 2025-09-09? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39647/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-ecbestrvolwgttrmdmnrt-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the euro short-term rate (volume-weighted trimmed mean), a measure of the borrowing costs of ba... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,891,418 | 2025-09-03T02:23:38 | 2.099745 | 1,757,376,000 | null | null | null | null | 1.923 | 1.923 | null | true | 1.923 | 1.923 | null | 1.5 | 3.664 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39023 | 39023 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA High Yield Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index" on 2025-09-11? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39646/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlemhbhycrpioas-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread for the ICE BofA High Yield Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index, which... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,802,913 | 2025-09-02T01:48:33 | 1.075382 | 1,757,548,800 | null | null | null | null | 3.12 | 3.12 | null | true | 3.12 | 3.12 | null | 3 | 4.7643 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39022 | 39022 | What will be the value of "the 180-day average of the Federal Reserve's Secured Overnight Financing Rate" on 2025-09-11? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39645/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-sofr180dayavg-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series SOFR180DAYAVG is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the 180-day average of the Federal Reserve's Secured Overnight Financing Rate. The title of the series ... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series SOFR180DAYAVG once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,757,026,904 | 2025-09-04T16:01:44 | 3.66787 | 1,757,548,800 | null | null | null | null | 4.37884 | 4.37884 | null | true | 4.37884 | 4.37884 | null | 3 | 5.397412 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39020 | 39020 | What will be the value of "the Federal Reserve's SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) Index" on 2025-09-11? | numeric | Index Apr 2, 2018 = 1 | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39643/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-sofrindex-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series SOFRINDEX is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Federal Reserve's SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) Index. The title of the series is "SOFR Index... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series SOFRINDEX once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,987,387 | 2025-09-04T05:03:07 | 3.210498 | 1,757,548,800 | null | null | null | null | 1.21127 | 1.21127 | null | true | 1.21127 | 1.21127 | null | 1.156828 | 2 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39019 | 39019 | What will be the value of "the Dow Jones Industrial Average" on 2025-09-10? | numeric | Index | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39642/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-djia-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series DJIA is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The title of the series is "Dow Jones Industrial Average". The last data point... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series DJIA once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,969,289 | 2025-09-04T00:01:29 | 3.00103 | 1,757,462,400 | null | null | null | null | 45490.92 | 45490.92 | null | true | 45490.92 | 45490.92 | null | 38,239.746 | 50,000 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39018 | 39018 | What will be the value of "the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities repurchased overnight by the Federal Reserve in temporary open market operations " on 2025-09-12? | numeric | Billions of US Dollars | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39641/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-rpontsyd-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series RPONTSYD is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the aggregated daily value of US Treasury securities repurchased overnight by the Federal Reserve in tempora... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series RPONTSYD once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,990,578 | 2025-09-04T05:56:18 | 3.247431 | 1,757,635,200 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | 0 | 0.102 | null | false | true | null | null |
metaculus_39017 | 39017 | What will be the value of "the option-adjusted spread of securities with an investment grade rating of BBB in the ICE BofA US Corporate Index" on 2025-09-09? | numeric | Percent | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39640/what-will-the-value-of-fred-series-bamlc0a4cbbb-be/ | The Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) provides economic data from national, international, public, and private sources. The series BAMLC0A4CBBB is a dataset that is tracked by the FRED API. It represents the option-adjusted spread of securities with an investment grade rating of BBB in the ICE BofA US Corpo... | Resolves to the value found on the FRED API for the series BAMLC0A4CBBB once the data is published. | [] | [] | 1,756,710,000 | 2025-09-01T00:00:00 | 1,756,829,235 | 2025-09-02T09:07:15 | 1.380035 | 1,757,376,000 | null | null | null | null | 1.01 | 1.01 | null | true | 1.01 | 1.01 | null | 0.9 | 1.46 | null | true | true | null | null |
metaculus_39049 | 39049 | Will the community prediction be higher than 28.90% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will Derrick Rose make the Hall of Fame?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39672/will-community-prediction-rise-for-derrick-rose-hall-of-fame-by-2040/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19397. If the community prediction on 2025-09-11 20:33:32 is higher than 28.90%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,969,200 | 2025-09-04T00:00:00 | 1,757,104,265 | 2025-09-05T13:31:05 | 1.563252 | 1,757,622,812 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39045 | 39045 | Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39668/will-community-prediction-rise-for-chinese-model-chinese-chips/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found at the URL: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20466. If the community prediction on 2025-09-12 02:32:50 is higher than 85.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,756,969,200 | 2025-09-04T00:00:00 | 1,757,108,859 | 2025-09-05T14:47:39 | 1.616424 | 1,757,644,370 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39036 | 39036 | Will UDR's market close price on 2025-09-12 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-05? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39659/udrs-close-price-rises/ | UDR, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is UDR. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:17) is 39.57. You can find more information about UDR, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UDR
UDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), an S&P 500 company, is a leading multifam... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of UDR. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-05, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,969,200 | 2025-09-04T00:00:00 | 1,757,088,409 | 2025-09-05T09:06:49 | 1.379734 | 1,757,648,498 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39032 | 39032 | Will WM's market close price on 2025-09-12 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-05? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39655/wms-close-price-rises/ | Waste Management, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is WM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-31 17:44:06) is 226.39. You can find more information about Waste Management, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WM
Waste Management, Inc., through its sub... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of WM. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-05, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,756,969,200 | 2025-09-04T00:00:00 | 1,757,095,225 | 2025-09-05T11:00:25 | 1.458623 | 1,757,648,492 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39527 | 39527 | Will the interest in "ios 26 new features" be greater on 2025-09-26 than on 2025-09-17 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39986/will-google-trend-topic-ios-26-new-features-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | Resolves "Yes" if the value on the timeline found at [https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=ios%2026%20new%20features&date=2025-08-27%202025-09-26](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=ios%2026%20new%20features&date=2025-08-27%202025-09-26) representing 2025-09-26 is greater than the ... | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,122,928 | 2025-09-17T08:28:48 | 1.353333 | 1,758,931,199 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39525 | 39525 | Will the interest in "nvidia" be greater on 2025-09-26 than on 2025-09-18 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39984/will-google-trend-topic-nvidia-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | Resolves "Yes" if the value on the timeline found at [https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=nvidia&date=2025-08-27%202025-09-26](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=nvidia&date=2025-08-27%202025-09-26) representing 2025-09-26 is greater than the value at 2025-09-18. If it stays the s... | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,232,921 | 2025-09-18T15:02:01 | 2.6264 | 1,758,931,199 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39524 | 39524 | Will the interest in "ios 18.7" be greater on 2025-09-27 than on 2025-09-18 according to Google Trends? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39983/will-google-trend-topic-ios-187-rise/ | Google Trends is a free tool from Google that shows how often particular search terms are entered into Google relative to the total search volume across different regions and time periods. One of its main features is the “interest over time” graph, which is scaled from 0 to 100. In this graph, 100 represents the peak p... | Resolves "Yes" if the value on the timeline found at [https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=ios%2018.7&date=2025-08-28%202025-09-27](https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&tz=0&q=ios%2018.7&date=2025-08-28%202025-09-27) representing 2025-09-27 is greater than the value at 2025-09-18. If it sta... | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,200,229 | 2025-09-18T05:57:09 | 2.248021 | 1,759,017,599 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39501 | 39501 | Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-24 for the Metaculus question "Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026?"? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39958/will-community-prediction-rise-for-spirit-airlines-emerge-from-bankruptcy-before-2026/ | Metaculus is a crowdsourced forecast aggregation platform where humans and bots compete to predict future events. Each question on Metaculus has a community prediction that aggregates all user's forecasts. As of this question launch, this aggregation is calculated as a median of user forecasts weighted by recency.
--... | This question will resolve based on the community prediction of the Metaculus question found [here](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39343). If the community prediction on 2025-09-24 23:32:41 is higher than 6.00%, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,096,295 | 2025-09-17T01:04:55 | 1.045081 | 1,758,756,761 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39500 | 39500 | Will PCG's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-17? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39957/pcgs-close-price-rises/ | PG&E Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is PCG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:57) is 15.45. You can find more information about PG&E Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PCG
PG&E Corporation, through its subsidiary, Pacific ... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of PCG. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-17, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,152,090 | 2025-09-17T16:34:50 | 1.690856 | 1,758,861,531 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39490 | 39490 | Will PNR's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39947/pnrs-close-price-rises/ | Pentair plc is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is PNR. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:32) is 110.95. You can find more information about Pentair plc at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PNR
Pentair plc provides various water solutions in the United ... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of PNR. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,173,021 | 2025-09-17T22:23:41 | 1.933113 | 1,758,882,827 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39489 | 39489 | Will STX's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39946/stxs-close-price-rises/ | Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is STX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:30) is 195.99. You can find more information about Seagate Technology Holdings plc at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STX
Seagate Technology ... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of STX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,157,427 | 2025-09-17T18:03:47 | 1.752627 | 1,758,909,508 | null | null | null | null | 1.0 | 1.0 | null | true | yes | 1.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |
metaculus_39487 | 39487 | Will MKTX's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18? | binary | https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39944/mktxs-close-price-rises/ | MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is MKTX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:27) is 184.85. You can find more information about MarketAxess Holdings Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc., to... | This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of MKTX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API. | [] | [] | 1,758,006,000 | 2025-09-16T00:00:00 | 1,758,184,635 | 2025-09-18T01:37:15 | 2.067535 | 1,758,798,708 | null | null | null | null | 0.0 | 0.0 | null | true | no | 0.0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null |
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